His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 37 shots, kind by kind | 41.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 37 shots | 1.13 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 14 + 7 | 35 |
| ÷ 37 shots | 0.95 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 16.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 887 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 887 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up39 % of 276 league shots | 2 | 0.78 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 367 | 1 | 0.82 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 367 | 1 | 0.82 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive63 % of 668 league shots | 4 | 1.25 | 5.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break67 % of 268 league shots | 3 | 1.34 | 4.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 1 046 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-up63 % of 200 league shots | 1 | 1.26 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 69 % of 273 | 1 | 1.38 | 1.4 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 1 762 | 2 | 1.13 | 2.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot38 % of 983 league shots | 9 | 1.13 | 10.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 1 315 | 3 | 1.12 | 3.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 1 315 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Three · Pull-up39 % of 251 league shots | 5 | 1.16 | 5.8 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 327 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Total adds up | 37 | 1.13 | 41.8 |