His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 40 shots, kind by kind | 40.7 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 40 shots | 1.02 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 7 | 39 |
| ÷ 40 shots | 0.98 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 291 | 1 | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 176 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 247 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 861 league shots | 7 | 1.18 | 8.3 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 342 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 296 league shots | 2 | 1.22 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 213 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 235 | 2 | 1.17 | 2.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 235 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 235 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 31 % of 2 305 | 1 | 0.94 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot30 % of 1 333 league shots | 11 | 0.90 | 9.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance31 % of 203 league shots | 4 | 0.92 | 3.7 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break35 % of 228 league shots | 5 | 1.04 | 5.2 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 385 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 40 | 1.02 | 40.7 |