His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 41 shots, kind by kind | 45.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 41 shots | 1.12 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 22 + 3 | 47 |
| ÷ 41 shots | 1.15 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 15.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 2 | 0.84 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 701 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up46 % of 236 league shots | 3 | 0.92 | 2.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 327 | 2 | 0.86 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 327 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 561 league shots | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 944 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break69 % of 256 league shots | 6 | 1.38 | 8.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 944 | 1 | 1.27 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 494 | 3 | 1.26 | 3.8 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 260 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 260 | 1 | 1.28 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 494 | 2 | 1.26 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 494 | 1 | 1.26 | 1.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot39 % of 870 league shots | 8 | 1.16 | 9.3 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 1 179 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 253 | 1 | 1.10 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 41 | 1.12 | 45.8 |