His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 31 shots, kind by kind | 34.4 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 31 shots | 1.11 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 16 + 6 | 38 |
| ÷ 31 shots | 1.23 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 42 % of 611 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot47 % of 426 league shots | 1 | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up46 % of 968 league shots | 4 | 0.91 | 3.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 1 316 | 1 | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 1 316 | 2 | 0.89 | 1.8 |
| Rim · Drive65 % of 2 289 league shots | 5 | 1.31 | 6.6 |
| Rim · Drive · second chance67 % of 262 league shots | 1 | 1.34 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 3 380 | 1 | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| Three · Drive40 % of 351 league shots | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 521 | 1 | 1.16 | 1.2 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 6 241 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot39 % of 3 419 league shots | 3 | 1.17 | 3.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break36 % of 574 league shots | 2 | 1.08 | 2.2 |
| Three · Pull-up37 % of 854 league shots | 3 | 1.11 | 3.3 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 1 142 | 2 | 1.13 | 2.3 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 1 142 | 1 | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 31 | 1.11 | 34.4 |