Manage a club, start free

Bandoleros Ronda

Founded 1964 in Ronda

Pabellón del Puente Nuevo, holding 500

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Where the points say

Bandoleros Ronda's wins match its points

−0.3 wins

Bandoleros Ronda's points say about 3 wins in 13 league games. It has 3. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

3Wins so far

3.3Points say

70.1Scored a game

75.7Allowed a game

−5.6Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 13 league games	911
Points allowed	984
Allowed ÷ scored	1.0801
To the power of 14	2.9422
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 2.9422)	25.37%
× 13 games played	3.30
Wins the points say	3.3 adds up

Wins so far	3
Difference	−0.3 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Bandoleros Ronda won 1 and lost 2. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 13. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Weakness

A leaky defence

105.5

Bandoleros Ronda let in 105.5 per 100 trips against the league's 101.7. Lower is better: 13th of 14.

BRO 105.5

League 101.7

How we counted it

100 × 984 allowed ÷ 933 possessions	105.5
League mean, 14 clubs	101.7
Rank, 14 clubs	13th of 14

Weakness

Weak on the glass

22.2 %

Bandoleros Ronda win back 22.2 % of their misses. The league wins back 26.9 %. That is 13th of 14.

BRO 22.2 %

League 26.9 %

How we counted it

Bandoleros Ronda: 107 ÷ (107 + 374)	22.2 %
League mean, 14 clubs	26.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	13th of 14

Weakness

A thin attack

97.7

Bandoleros Ronda score 97.7 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 101.7. That is 12th of 14.

BRO 97.7

League 101.7

How we counted it

100 × 911 points ÷ 932 possessions	97.7
League mean, 14 clubs	101.7
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

Best shot-maker

Virgilio Roldán

#65 · SF

53/116shots

131points

+18.7vs expected

How we counted it

53 made of 116, 25 of them threes	53/116
Points: 2 × 53 + 25	131
His shots are worth (expected)	112.3
Above expected	131 − 112.3 = +18.7 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 10th of 14

BRO 47.8 %

League 48.4 %

How we counted it

Bandoleros Ronda: (334 + ½ × 125) ÷ 829	47.8 %
League mean, 14 clubs	48.4 %
Rank, 14 clubs	10th of 14

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 11th of 14

BRO 17.2 %

League 16.4 %

How we counted it

Bandoleros Ronda: 160 ÷ 932 possessions	17.2 %
League mean, 14 clubs	16.4 %
Rank, 14 clubs	11th of 14

Reboundsown misses won back · 13th of 14

BRO 22.2 %

League 26.9 %

How we counted it

Bandoleros Ronda: 107 ÷ (107 + 374)	22.2 %
League mean, 14 clubs	26.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	13th of 14

Free throwstries per shot · 10th of 14

BRO 20.1 %

League 21.3 %

How we counted it

Bandoleros Ronda: 167 tries ÷ 829 shots	20.1 %
League mean, 14 clubs	21.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs	10th of 14

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

−7.1

Over 6 games Bandoleros Ronda's shots were worth 357.1 points and they scored 350 from the floor: 1.2 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

−7.1

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 148 + 54	350
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	357.1
Shot-making	−7.1
A game	−1.18

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.

Bandoleros Ronda
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive36 % of 228 league shots	12	0.73	8.7
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 326	3	0.71	2.1
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 326	2	0.71	1.4
Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 326	2	0.71	1.4
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 1 211	5	0.67	3.3
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270	7	0.67	4.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 270	1	0.67	0.7
Mid-range · Pull-up32 % of 363 league shots	20	0.64	12.8
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 486	5	0.63	3.2
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 486	4	0.63	2.5
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 486	1	0.63	0.6
Rim · Drive60 % of 914 league shots	67	1.19	79.9
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 388	12	1.19	14.3
Rim · Drive · fast break61 % of 270 league shots	14	1.21	17.0
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 388	1	1.19	1.2
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 893	16	1.18	18.8
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 893	1	1.18	1.2
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234	2	1.14	2.3
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234	1	1.14	1.1
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 234	1	1.14	1.1
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 893	4	1.18	4.7
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 325	5	0.96	4.8
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 325	1	0.96	1.0
Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 325	2	0.96	1.9
Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 368 league shots	125	0.98	122.0
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance27 % of 237 league shots	13	0.80	10.4
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break30 % of 218 league shots	15	0.91	13.6
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 865	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Pull-up32 % of 240 league shots	15	0.95	14.3
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 322	3	1.04	3.1
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 322	1	1.04	1.1
Total adds up	363	0.98	357.1

⁠

Where Bandoleros Ronda shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

363 of 363 shots shown

40.8%

148 of 363 from the floor, 6 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 73 / 119 61% · avg 2.0 ft 37 of the 73 makes assisted league 59% 146pts

MID 21 / 62 34% · avg 14.8 ft 10 of the 21 makes assisted league 34% 42pts

THREE 54 / 182 30% · avg 25.3 ft 50 of the 54 makes assisted league 31% 162pts

148 of 363 from the floor, 350 points, + 71 from the line

The dots cover 6 of 13 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

97 of 148 makes were assisted (66%): 37 + 10 + 50.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 6 games whose streams are stored, of 13 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 13 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Bandoleros Ronda

33% 17% 50%

League

35% 22% 43%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Bandoleros Ronda

33% 46% 15%

League

34% 44% 16%

How we counted it

Bandoleros Ronda: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	119 drives + 24 post-ups + 167 catch and shoot + 53 pull-ups = 363

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Virgilio Roldán SF 21 y

Solid41–60

Age: 21
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.4
Contract ends: End of season 3

53/116 shots 112.3 expected 131 scored ▲ +18.7

A man is listed from 50 shots.