Watching Europe and South America 69 leagues
Founded 1962 in Neuquén
Estadio de la Confluencia, holding 8 000
The four factors
The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.
They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.
Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.
Bardas Neuquén win back 23.8 % of their misses. The league wins back 26.7 %. That is 20th of 20.
| Bardas Neuquén: 138 ÷ (138 + 441) | 23.8 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 26.7 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 20th of 20 |
Bardas Neuquén let in 119.1 per 100 trips against the league's 116.0. Lower is better: 19th of 20.
| 100 × 1 637 allowed ÷ 1 374 possessions | 119.1 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 116.0 |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 19th of 20 |
Bardas Neuquén score 112.4 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 116.0. That is 17th of 20.
| 100 × 1 544 points ÷ 1 374 possessions | 112.4 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 116.0 |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 17th of 20 |
#35 · PG
| 62 made of 106, 24 of them threes | 62/106 |
|---|---|
| Points: 2 × 62 + 24 | 148 |
| His shots are worth (expected) | 118.2 |
| Above expected | 148 − 118.2 = +29.8 adds up |
| Bardas Neuquén: (571 + ½ × 165) ÷ 1 171 | 55.8 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 56.7 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 14th of 20 |
| Bardas Neuquén: 244 ÷ 1 374 possessions | 17.8 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 18.4 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 8th of 20 |
| Bardas Neuquén: 138 ÷ (138 + 441) | 23.8 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 26.7 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 20th of 20 |
| Bardas Neuquén: 318 tries ÷ 1 171 shots | 27.2 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 30.8 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 16th of 20 |
Shot-making
Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.
Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.
Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.
Over 7 games Bardas Neuquén's shots were worth 526.1 points and they scored 520 from the floor: 0.9 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.
| Points: 2 × 228 + 64 | 520 |
|---|---|
| Expected points, the squad's shots added up | 526.1 |
| Shot-making | −6.1 |
| A game | −0.88 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive44 % of 254 league shots | 7 | 0.88 | 6.2 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 366 | 3 | 0.88 | 2.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-up36 % of 217 league shots | 7 | 0.72 | 5.0 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 281 | 4 | 0.70 | 2.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 281 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot42 % of 279 league shots | 15 | 0.84 | 12.6 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 371 | 2 | 0.86 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 371 | 1 | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up41 % of 580 league shots | 34 | 0.82 | 27.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 801 | 6 | 0.82 | 4.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 801 | 6 | 0.82 | 4.9 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 801 | 2 | 0.82 | 1.6 |
| Rim · Drive65 % of 1 409 league shots | 86 | 1.29 | 111.0 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 2 215 | 14 | 1.29 | 18.1 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 548 league shots | 28 | 1.31 | 36.7 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 2 215 | 4 | 1.29 | 5.2 |
| Rim · Post-up65 % of 335 league shots | 21 | 1.31 | 27.5 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 414 | 2 | 1.30 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 414 | 3 | 1.30 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot63 % of 356 league shots | 14 | 1.27 | 17.8 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 585 | 2 | 1.32 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 585 | 6 | 1.32 | 7.9 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 285 | 12 | 1.30 | 15.6 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 285 | 2 | 1.30 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 285 | 4 | 1.30 | 5.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 285 | 2 | 1.30 | 2.6 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 300 | 6 | 1.07 | 6.4 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 300 | 2 | 1.07 | 2.1 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 300 | 4 | 1.07 | 4.3 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 3 742 | 1 | 1.10 | 1.1 |
| Three · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 3 742 | 1 | 1.10 | 1.1 |
| Three · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 3 742 | 1 | 1.10 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot37 % of 2 018 league shots | 95 | 1.10 | 104.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance37 % of 331 league shots | 14 | 1.10 | 15.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break42 % of 412 league shots | 16 | 1.25 | 20.0 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 440 league shots | 29 | 0.99 | 28.7 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 613 | 5 | 1.05 | 5.2 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 613 | 4 | 1.05 | 4.2 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 613 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 467 | 1.13 | 526.1 |
Shot quality is counted from the 7 games whose streams are stored, of 18 played.
Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 18 games are counted.
| Bardas Neuquén: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups | 154 drives + 41 post-ups + 165 catch and shoot + 107 pull-ups = 467 |
|---|
Expected points
The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.
It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.
Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.
A man is listed from 50 shots.
