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Watching Europe and South America 69 leagues

Botargas Guadalajara

Founded 1966 in Guadalajara

Pabellón de la Alcarria, holding 500

⁠
The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Strength

A solid defence

88.2

Botargas Guadalajara let in 88.2 per 100 trips against the league's 101.3. Lower is better: 1st of 14.

BGU 88.2
League 101.3
How we counted it
100 × 763 allowed ÷ 865 possessions88.2
League mean, 14 clubs101.3
Rank, 14 clubs1st of 14
Strength

Safe with the ball

15.1 %

Botargas Guadalajara give it away on 15.1 % of trips against the league's 16.2 %. Fewer is better: 3rd of 14.

BGU 15.1 %
League 16.2 %
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: 131 ÷ 866 possessions15.1 %
League mean, 14 clubs16.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs3rd of 14
Strength

Strong on the glass

30.9 %

Botargas Guadalajara win back 30.9 % of their misses. The league wins back 26.7 %. That is 3rd of 14.

BGU 30.9 %
League 26.7 %
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: 148 ÷ (148 + 331)30.9 %
League mean, 14 clubs26.7 %
Rank, 14 clubs3rd of 14
Best shot-maker

Jovan Ćirković

#23 · SF

28/51shots
64points
+12.8vs expected
How we counted it
28 made of 51, 8 of them threes28/51
Points: 2 × 28 + 864
His shots are worth (expected)51.2
Above expected64 − 51.2 = +12.8 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 10th of 14
BGU 47.1 %
League 48.3 %
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: (340 + ½ × 105) ÷ 83347.1 %
League mean, 14 clubs48.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs10th of 14
Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 3rd of 14
BGU 15.1 %
League 16.2 %
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: 131 ÷ 866 possessions15.1 %
League mean, 14 clubs16.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs3rd of 14
Reboundsown misses won back · 3rd of 14
BGU 30.9 %
League 26.7 %
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: 148 ÷ (148 + 331)30.9 %
League mean, 14 clubs26.7 %
Rank, 14 clubs3rd of 14
Free throwstries per shot · 4th of 14
BGU 21.4 %
League 20.4 %
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: 178 tries ÷ 833 shots21.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs20.4 %
Rank, 14 clubs4th of 14

⁠
Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

+2.3

Over 5 games Botargas Guadalajara's shots were worth 325.7 points and they scored 328 from the floor: 0.5 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

How we counted it
Points: 2 × 140 + 48328
Expected points, the squad's shots added up325.7
Shot-making+2.3
A game+0.46

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.

Botargas Guadalajara
Kind of shotShotsWorthPoints
Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 264130.779.9
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 26440.773.1
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 26420.771.5
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 03860.724.3
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 220110.778.5
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 22020.771.5
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 22010.770.8
Mid-range · Pull-up33 % of 333 league shots340.6522.3
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 42530.631.9
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 42520.631.3
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 42510.630.6
Rim · Drive58 % of 730 league shots401.1646.4
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 144101.1811.8
Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 241 league shots271.2634.1
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 14431.183.5
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 553121.1814.2
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 55321.182.4
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 553101.1811.8
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 55311.181.2
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 55331.183.5
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 55321.182.4
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 59 % of 1 55311.181.2
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 1 94220.911.8
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 1 94220.911.8
Three · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 1 94210.910.9
Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 168 league shots870.9582.2
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 211 league shots220.8418.5
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 540130.9312.1
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 54050.934.6
Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 28490.877.8
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 28450.874.3
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 28430.872.6
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 28410.870.9
Total adds up3400.96325.7

Shot quality is counted from the 5 games whose streams are stored, of 12 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

league 0 Round 1: +6 Round 2: +9 Round 3: +10 Round 4: +40 Round 5: −7 Round 6: +14 Round 7: +39 Round 8: +22 Round 9: +9 Round 10: +43 Round 11: +37 Round 12: −4

Offence

league 101 Round 1: 100 Round 2: 96 Round 3: 114 Round 4: 114 Round 5: 107 Round 6: 110 Round 7: 94 Round 8: 105 Round 9: 101 Round 10: 124 Round 11: 120 Round 12: 91

Shooting %

league 48 Round 1: 47 Round 2: 46 Round 3: 49 Round 4: 43 Round 5: 49 Round 6: 51 Round 7: 40 Round 8: 50 Round 9: 50 Round 10: 51 Round 11: 49 Round 12: 41

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 12 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree
Botargas Guadalajara
33% 23% 44%
League
34% 23% 43%
DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up
Botargas Guadalajara
30% 46% 18%
League
33% 43% 17%
How we counted it
Botargas Guadalajara: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups103 drives + 21 post-ups + 155 catch and shoot + 61 pull-ups = 340

⁠
Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Jovan Ćirković SF Small forward Squad number 23 29 y
More about Jovan Ćirković Overall Solid41–60
Age
29
Potential
Solid (41–60)
Form
0.4
Contract ends
End of season 1
28/51 shots 51.2 expected 64 scored ▲ +12.8
Robertas Butkevičius SG Shooting guard Squad number 83 29 y
More about Robertas Butkevičius Overall Solid41–60
Age
29
Potential
Solid (41–60)
Form
-0.2
Contract ends
End of season 3
24/60 shots 57.0 expected 60 scored ▲ +3.0
Zacarías Miralles PG Point guard Squad number 29 24 y
More about Zacarías Miralles Overall Solid41–60
Age
24
Potential
Solid (41–60)
Form
0.0
Contract ends
End of season 3
32/94 shots 83.7 expected 76 scored ▼ −7.7

A man is listed from 50 shots.