Manage a club, start free

Dokumacılar Uşak

Founded 1953 in Uşak

Ulubey Kanyonu Salonu, holding 2 000

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Ahead of its points

Dokumacılar Uşak's wins run ahead of its points

+1.5 wins

Dokumacılar Uşak's points say about 4 wins in 18 league games. It has 5. The table has been a little kind.

5Wins so far

3.5Points say

71.1Scored a game

78.6Allowed a game

−7.5Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 18 league games	1 280
Points allowed	1 415
Allowed ÷ scored	1.1055
To the power of 14	4.0705
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 4.0705)	19.72%
× 18 games played	3.55
Wins the points say	3.5 adds up

Wins so far	5
Difference	+1.5 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Dokumacılar Uşak won 3 and lost 1. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 18. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Weakness

A thin attack

96.7

Dokumacılar Uşak score 96.7 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 105.9. That is 10th of 10.

DOU 96.7

League 105.9

How we counted it

100 × 1 280 points ÷ 1 324 possessions	96.7
League mean, 10 clubs	105.9
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Weakness

Cold shooting

47.6 %

Dokumacılar Uşak shoot 47.6 % effective. The league shoots 50.7 %. That is 10th of 10.

DOU 47.6 %

League 50.7 %

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: (474 + ½ × 161) ÷ 1 164	47.6 %
League mean, 10 clubs	50.7 %
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Weakness

Careless with the ball

18.2 %

Dokumacılar Uşak give it away on 18.2 % of trips against the league's 16.9 %. Fewer is better: 10th of 10.

DOU 18.2 %

League 16.9 %

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: 241 ÷ 1 324 possessions	18.2 %
League mean, 10 clubs	16.9 %
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Best shot-maker

Aaron Cross

#53 · PG

58/125shots

133points

+10.9vs expected

How we counted it

58 made of 125, 17 of them threes	58/125
Points: 2 × 58 + 17	133
His shots are worth (expected)	122.1
Above expected	133 − 122.1 = +10.9 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 10th of 10

DOU 47.6 %

League 50.7 %

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: (474 + ½ × 161) ÷ 1 164	47.6 %
League mean, 10 clubs	50.7 %
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 10th of 10

DOU 18.2 %

League 16.9 %

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: 241 ÷ 1 324 possessions	18.2 %
League mean, 10 clubs	16.9 %
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Reboundsown misses won back · 7th of 10

DOU 24.9 %

League 26.6 %

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: 167 ÷ (167 + 503)	24.9 %
League mean, 10 clubs	26.6 %
Rank, 10 clubs	7th of 10

Free throwstries per shot · 9th of 10

DOU 20.4 %

League 24.0 %

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: 238 tries ÷ 1 164 shots	20.4 %
League mean, 10 clubs	24.0 %
Rank, 10 clubs	9th of 10

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

Unlucky so far

Your shots have not paid off at all

−50.6

Over 8 games Dokumacılar Uşak's shots were worth 485.6 points and they scored 435 from the floor: 6.3 a game worse than the league would do from the same shots.

−50.6

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 191 + 53	435
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	485.6
Shot-making	−50.6
A game	−6.32

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.

Dokumacılar Uşak
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270	22	0.72	15.8
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270	5	0.72	3.6
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270	4	0.72	2.9
Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270	2	0.72	1.4
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 149	11	0.67	7.4
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 149	4	0.67	2.7
Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 149	1	0.67	0.7
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249	30	0.75	22.4
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249	5	0.75	3.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249	1	0.75	0.8
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249	1	0.75	0.8
Mid-range · Pull-up31 % of 363 league shots	55	0.62	33.9
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 484	5	0.61	3.1
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 484	2	0.61	1.2
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 484	2	0.61	1.2
Rim · Drive58 % of 797 league shots	70	1.17	81.7
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 222	16	1.19	19.0
Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 249 league shots	26	1.25	32.6
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 222	5	1.19	5.9
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204	22	1.19	26.1
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204	4	1.19	4.8
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204	2	1.19	2.4
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234	5	1.25	6.2
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234	3	1.25	3.7
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 757	5	1.20	6.0
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 757	2	1.20	2.4
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 166	6	0.99	6.0
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 166	2	0.99	2.0
Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 234 league shots	103	0.99	101.9
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 218 league shots	22	0.85	18.8
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 675	22	0.97	21.3
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 675	2	0.97	1.9
Three · Pull-up35 % of 272 league shots	27	1.06	28.6
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 362	4	1.06	4.2
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 362	7	1.06	7.4
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 362	1	1.06	1.1
Total adds up	506	0.96	485.6

⁠

Where Dokumacılar Uşak shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

506 of 506 shots shown

37.7%

191 of 506 from the floor, 8 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 83 / 160 52% · avg 2.0 ft 42 of the 83 makes assisted league 61% 166pts

MID 55 / 150 37% · avg 14.8 ft 26 of the 55 makes assisted league 37% 110pts

THREE 53 / 196 27% · avg 25.3 ft 37 of the 53 makes assisted league 33% 159pts

191 of 506 from the floor, 435 points, + 97 from the line

The dots cover 8 of 18 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

105 of 191 makes were assisted (55%): 42 + 26 + 37.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 8 games whose streams are stored, of 18 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 18 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Dokumacılar Uşak

32% 30% 39%

League

35% 23% 43%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Dokumacılar Uşak

31% 9% 38% 22%

League

32% 43% 19%

How we counted it

Dokumacılar Uşak: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	158 drives + 44 post-ups + 194 catch and shoot + 110 pull-ups = 506

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Aaron Cross PG 23 y

Strong61–80

Age: 23
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

58/125 shots 122.1 expected 133 scored ▲ +10.9

Seamus Beaupre PG 21 y

Solid41–60

Age: 21
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

20/59 shots 53.6 expected 49 scored ▼ −4.6

Çağdaş Aral SG 23 y

Solid41–60

Age: 23
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 3

42/112 shots 102.4 expected 96 scored ▼ −6.4

Suat Asuquo SF 35 y

Modest21–40

Age: 35
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.3
Contract ends: End of season 4

14/56 shots 52.5 expected 36 scored ▼ −16.5

A man is listed from 50 shots.