Watching Europe and South America 69 leagues
Founded 1934 in Brest
Salle de la Penfeld, holding 6 000
The four factors
The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.
They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.
Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.
Gabiers Brest let in 106.9 per 100 trips against the league's 109.4. Lower is better: 4th of 20.
| 100 × 1 474 allowed ÷ 1 379 possessions | 106.9 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 109.4 |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 4th of 20 |
Gabiers Brest score 113.1 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 109.4. That is 5th of 20.
| 100 × 1 559 points ÷ 1 378 possessions | 113.1 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 109.4 |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 5th of 20 |
Gabiers Brest shoot 54.2 % effective. The league shoots 52.9 %. That is 5th of 20.
| Gabiers Brest: (569 + ½ × 177) ÷ 1 214 | 54.2 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 52.9 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 5th of 20 |
#56 · PG
| 50 made of 83, 15 of them threes | 50/83 |
|---|---|
| Points: 2 × 50 + 15 | 115 |
| His shots are worth (expected) | 93.7 |
| Above expected | 115 − 93.7 = +21.3 adds up |
| Gabiers Brest: (569 + ½ × 177) ÷ 1 214 | 54.2 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 52.9 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 5th of 20 |
| Gabiers Brest: 231 ÷ 1 378 possessions | 16.8 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 17.3 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 11th of 20 |
| Gabiers Brest: 174 ÷ (174 + 449) | 27.9 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 26.4 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 7th of 20 |
| Gabiers Brest: 317 tries ÷ 1 214 shots | 26.1 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 20 clubs | 25.8 % |
| Rank, 20 clubs | 10th of 20 |
Shot-making
Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.
Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.
Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.
Over 8 games Gabiers Brest's shots were worth 575.2 points and they scored 597 from the floor: 2.7 a game better than the league would do from the same shots.
| Points: 2 × 258 + 81 | 597 |
|---|---|
| Expected points, the squad's shots added up | 575.2 |
| Shot-making | +21.8 |
| A game | +2.72 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive40 % of 323 league shots | 14 | 0.79 | 11.1 |
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 487 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 487 | 4 | 0.81 | 3.3 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 487 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up44 % of 250 league shots | 8 | 0.88 | 7.0 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 314 | 4 | 0.83 | 3.3 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 314 | 1 | 0.83 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot44 % of 382 league shots | 28 | 0.88 | 24.6 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 44 % of 494 | 7 | 0.87 | 6.1 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 682 league shots | 38 | 0.80 | 30.3 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 939 | 7 | 0.80 | 5.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 939 | 3 | 0.80 | 2.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 939 | 1 | 0.80 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 1 555 league shots | 72 | 1.22 | 87.5 |
| Rim · Drive · second chance57 % of 271 league shots | 14 | 1.14 | 15.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 563 league shots | 31 | 1.31 | 40.5 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 2 476 | 4 | 1.23 | 4.9 |
| Rim · Post-up64 % of 370 league shots | 17 | 1.28 | 21.7 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 467 | 1 | 1.29 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 467 | 2 | 1.29 | 2.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot59 % of 328 league shots | 17 | 1.19 | 20.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 514 | 4 | 1.26 | 5.1 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 514 | 9 | 1.26 | 11.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 514 | 2 | 1.26 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 234 | 9 | 1.20 | 10.8 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 234 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 234 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Drive38 % of 219 league shots | 16 | 1.15 | 18.4 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 324 | 3 | 1.09 | 3.3 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 324 | 2 | 1.09 | 2.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot34 % of 2 436 league shots | 125 | 1.03 | 128.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance34 % of 382 league shots | 17 | 1.03 | 17.5 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break34 % of 407 league shots | 33 | 1.03 | 34.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 3 277 | 4 | 1.02 | 4.1 |
| Three · Pull-up34 % of 541 league shots | 31 | 1.01 | 31.5 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 752 | 6 | 1.01 | 6.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 752 | 6 | 1.01 | 6.0 |
| Total adds up | 544 | 1.06 | 575.2 |
Shot quality is counted from the 8 games whose streams are stored, of 18 played.
Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 18 games are counted.
| Gabiers Brest: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups | 162 drives + 33 post-ups + 246 catch and shoot + 103 pull-ups = 544 |
|---|
Expected points
The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.
It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.
Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.
A man is listed from 50 shots.
