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Gangaši Imotski

Founded 1966 in Imotski

Dvorana kod Modrog jezera, holding 2 000

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Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Where the points say

Gangaši Imotski's wins match its points

0.0 wins

Gangaši Imotski's points say about 11 wins in 22 league games. It has 11. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

11Wins so far

11.0Points say

77.5Scored a game

77.5Allowed a game

0.0Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 22 league games	1 705
Points allowed	1 705
Allowed ÷ scored	1.0000
To the power of 14	1.0000
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 1.0000)	50.00%
× 22 games played	11.00
Wins the points say	11.0 adds up

Wins so far	11
Difference	0.0 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Gangaši Imotski won 3 and lost 3. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 22. It is final when the season closes.

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Weakness

Weak on the glass

24.3 %

Gangaši Imotski win back 24.3 % of their misses. The league wins back 26.0 %. That is 10th of 12.

GAI 24.3 %

League 26.0 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: 198 ÷ (198 + 616)	24.3 %
League mean, 12 clubs	26.0 %
Rank, 12 clubs	10th of 12

Strength

Safe with the ball

15.3 %

Gangaši Imotski give it away on 15.3 % of trips against the league's 15.9 %. Fewer is better: 4th of 12.

GAI 15.3 %

League 15.9 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: 247 ÷ 1 614 possessions	15.3 %
League mean, 12 clubs	15.9 %
Rank, 12 clubs	4th of 12

Weakness

Few trips to the line

21.9

Gangaši Imotski attempt 21.9 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 22.2, so 8th of 12.

GAI 21.9 %

League 22.2 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: 320 tries ÷ 1 458 shots	21.9 %
League mean, 12 clubs	22.2 %
Rank, 12 clubs	8th of 12

Best shot-maker

Leonardo Sredojević

#16 · PF

31/57shots

68points

+10.9vs expected

How we counted it

31 made of 57, 6 of them threes	31/57
Points: 2 × 31 + 6	68
His shots are worth (expected)	57.1
Above expected	68 − 57.1 = +10.9 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 7th of 12

GAI 50.4 %

League 50.2 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: (627 + ½ × 215) ÷ 1 458	50.4 %
League mean, 12 clubs	50.2 %
Rank, 12 clubs	7th of 12

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 4th of 12

GAI 15.3 %

League 15.9 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: 247 ÷ 1 614 possessions	15.3 %
League mean, 12 clubs	15.9 %
Rank, 12 clubs	4th of 12

Reboundsown misses won back · 10th of 12

GAI 24.3 %

League 26.0 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: 198 ÷ (198 + 616)	24.3 %
League mean, 12 clubs	26.0 %
Rank, 12 clubs	10th of 12

Free throwstries per shot · 8th of 12

GAI 21.9 %

League 22.2 %

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: 320 tries ÷ 1 458 shots	21.9 %
League mean, 12 clubs	22.2 %
Rank, 12 clubs	8th of 12

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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Lucky so far

Your shots have paid off a little

+17.9

Over 9 games Gangaši Imotski's shots were worth 583.1 points and they scored 601 from the floor: 2.0 a game better than the league would do from the same shots.

+17.9

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 262 + 77	601
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	583.1
Shot-making	+17.9
A game	+1.99

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.

Gangaši Imotski
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive36 % of 250 league shots	20	0.73	14.6
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 361	7	0.70	4.9
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 361	6	0.70	4.2
Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 361	1	0.70	0.7
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 200	16	0.73	11.7
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 200	3	0.73	2.2
Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 200	3	0.73	2.2
Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 263 league shots	19	0.81	15.3
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 42 % of 338	1	0.83	0.8
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 42 % of 338	2	0.83	1.7
Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 554 league shots	43	0.81	34.8
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 737	6	0.80	4.8
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 737	7	0.80	5.6
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 737	1	0.80	0.8
Rim · Drive63 % of 1 156 league shots	95	1.26	119.6
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 779	11	1.24	13.7
Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 380 league shots	37	1.26	46.5
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 779	3	1.24	3.7
Rim · Post-up63 % of 203 league shots	10	1.26	12.6
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 251	3	1.24	3.7
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 251	2	1.24	2.5
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 249	14	1.23	17.2
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 249	2	1.23	2.4
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 249	6	1.23	7.4
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 400	6	1.25	7.5
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 400	6	1.25	7.5
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 213	16	0.99	15.8
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 213	2	0.99	2.0
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 213	2	0.99	2.0
Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 744 league shots	147	0.96	141.3
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance29 % of 292 league shots	20	0.86	17.3
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break33 % of 246 league shots	19	0.99	18.8
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 2 315	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Pull-up30 % of 375 league shots	31	0.91	28.3
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 512	2	0.88	1.8
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 512	5	0.88	4.4
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 29 % of 512	1	0.88	0.9
Total adds up	577	1.01	583.1

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Where Gangaši Imotski shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

647 of 647 shots shown

45.3%

293 of 647 from the floor, 10 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 141 / 222 64% · avg 2.0 ft 70 of the 141 makes assisted league 60% 282pts

MID 70 / 156 45% · avg 14.6 ft 27 of the 70 makes assisted league 39% 140pts

THREE 82 / 269 31% · avg 25.3 ft 70 of the 82 makes assisted league 32% 246pts

293 of 647 from the floor, 668 points, + 109 from the line

The dots cover 10 of 22 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

167 of 293 makes were assisted (57%): 70 + 27 + 70.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 9 games whose streams are stored, of 22 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 22 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Gangaši Imotski

34% 23% 43%

League

34% 23% 43%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Gangaši Imotski

35% 40% 19%

League

33% 41% 19%

How we counted it

Gangaši Imotski: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	200 drives + 37 post-ups + 232 catch and shoot + 108 pull-ups = 577

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Leonardo Sredojević PF 32 y

Solid41–60

Age: 32
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

31/57 shots 57.1 expected 68 scored ▲ +10.9

Kévin Fabre SG 23 y

Strong61–80

Age: 23
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

70/162 shots 161.5 expected 164 scored ▲ +2.5

Vinko Tripković SF 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

38/96 shots 94.4 expected 96 scored ▲ +1.6

Ifeoluwa Blake PG 27 y

Solid41–60

Age: 27
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

27/59 shots 62.4 expected 57 scored ▼ −5.4

Jure Repar SG 23 y

Solid41–60

Age: 23
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

24/66 shots 69.6 expected 58 scored ▼ −11.6

A man is listed from 50 shots.