Manage a club, start free

Kirazlar Giresun

Founded 1946 in Giresun

Kale Yokuşu Salonu, holding 1 500

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Behind its points

Kirazlar Giresun's wins trail its points

−1.0 wins

Kirazlar Giresun's points say about 8 wins in 18 league games. It has 7. The table has been a little unkind.

7Wins so far

8.0Points say

73.4Scored a game

74.6Allowed a game

−1.2Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 18 league games	1 322
Points allowed	1 343
Allowed ÷ scored	1.0159
To the power of 14	1.2469
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 1.2469)	44.51%
× 18 games played	8.01
Wins the points say	8.0 adds up

Wins so far	7
Difference	−1.0 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Kirazlar Giresun won 1 and lost 2. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 18. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Weakness

Cold shooting

46.7 %

Kirazlar Giresun shoot 46.7 % effective. The league shoots 49.6 %. That is 10th of 10.

KIG 46.7 %

League 49.6 %

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: (486 + ½ × 160) ÷ 1 211	46.7 %
League mean, 10 clubs	49.6 %
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Weakness

A thin attack

98.8

Kirazlar Giresun score 98.8 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 103.3. That is 9th of 10.

KIG 98.8

League 103.3

How we counted it

100 × 1 322 points ÷ 1 338 possessions	98.8
League mean, 10 clubs	103.3
Rank, 10 clubs	9th of 10

Weakness

Careless with the ball

17.8 %

Kirazlar Giresun give it away on 17.8 % of trips against the league's 16.8 %. Fewer is better: 9th of 10.

KIG 17.8 %

League 16.8 %

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: 238 ÷ 1 338 possessions	17.8 %
League mean, 10 clubs	16.8 %
Rank, 10 clubs	9th of 10

Best shot-maker

Barış Bogdanović

#71 · PF

58/108shots

130points

+17.7vs expected

How we counted it

58 made of 108, 14 of them threes	58/108
Points: 2 × 58 + 14	130
His shots are worth (expected)	112.3
Above expected	130 − 112.3 = +17.7 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 10th of 10

KIG 46.7 %

League 49.6 %

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: (486 + ½ × 160) ÷ 1 211	46.7 %
League mean, 10 clubs	49.6 %
Rank, 10 clubs	10th of 10

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 9th of 10

KIG 17.8 %

League 16.8 %

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: 238 ÷ 1 338 possessions	17.8 %
League mean, 10 clubs	16.8 %
Rank, 10 clubs	9th of 10

Reboundsown misses won back · 4th of 10

KIG 26.2 %

League 26.0 %

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: 182 ÷ (182 + 512)	26.2 %
League mean, 10 clubs	26.0 %
Rank, 10 clubs	4th of 10

Free throwstries per shot · 9th of 10

KIG 21.2 %

League 23.6 %

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: 257 tries ÷ 1 211 shots	21.2 %
League mean, 10 clubs	23.6 %
Rank, 10 clubs	9th of 10

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

Unlucky so far

Your shots have not paid off at all

−44.4

Over 8 games Kirazlar Giresun's shots were worth 507.4 points and they scored 463 from the floor: 5.6 a game worse than the league would do from the same shots.

−44.4

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 197 + 69	463
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	507.4
Shot-making	−44.4
A game	−5.56

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.

Kirazlar Giresun
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive40 % of 206 league shots	20	0.80	15.9
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 307	4	0.73	2.9
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 307	7	0.73	5.1
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 202	11	0.72	7.9
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 36 % of 1 202	2	0.72	1.4
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 265	14	0.67	9.4
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 265	4	0.67	2.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 265	7	0.67	4.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 265	1	0.67	0.7
Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 361 league shots	32	0.76	24.3
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 491	8	0.75	6.0
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 491	6	0.75	4.5
Rim · Drive60 % of 847 league shots	88	1.19	104.9
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 258	12	1.22	14.7
Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 243 league shots	19	1.27	24.1
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 258	1	1.22	1.2
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767	18	1.21	21.7
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767	1	1.21	1.2
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218	13	1.15	14.9
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218	5	1.15	5.7
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 218	2	1.15	2.3
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767	7	1.21	8.5
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767	3	1.21	3.6
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 767	5	1.21	6.0
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146	11	0.95	10.5
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 146	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Catch and shoot31 % of 1 255 league shots	130	0.93	120.6
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance33 % of 230 league shots	26	0.98	25.4
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 693	21	0.97	20.4
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 693	2	0.97	2.0
Three · Pull-up30 % of 259 league shots	24	0.89	21.4
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 336	4	0.89	3.6
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 336	5	0.89	4.5
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 336	1	0.89	0.9
Total adds up	518	0.98	507.4

⁠

Where Kirazlar Giresun shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

518 of 518 shots shown

38.0%

197 of 518 from the floor, 8 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 99 / 174 57% · avg 2.0 ft 53 of the 99 makes assisted league 60% 198pts

MID 29 / 116 25% · avg 14.5 ft 11 of the 29 makes assisted league 37% 58pts

THREE 69 / 228 30% · avg 24.9 ft 62 of the 69 makes assisted league 32% 207pts

197 of 518 from the floor, 463 points, + 89 from the line

The dots cover 8 of 18 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

126 of 197 makes were assisted (64%): 53 + 11 + 62.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 8 games whose streams are stored, of 18 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 18 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Kirazlar Giresun

34% 22% 44%

League

35% 23% 42%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Kirazlar Giresun

32% 43% 18%

League

33% 43% 18%

How we counted it

Kirazlar Giresun: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	166 drives + 32 post-ups + 225 catch and shoot + 95 pull-ups = 518

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Barış Bogdanović PF 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 2

58/108 shots 112.3 expected 130 scored ▲ +17.7

Zvjezdan Zaletel SF 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

34/72 shots 70.6 expected 84 scored ▲ +13.4

Arda Nešić Injured SG 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

38/113 shots 111.3 expected 99 scored ▼ −12.3

Enver Çankaya PG 29 y

Solid41–60

Age: 29
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.3
Contract ends: End of season 3

24/98 shots 90.7 expected 55 scored ▼ −35.7

A man is listed from 50 shots.