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Llonganissers Vic

Founded 1958 in Vic

Pavelló del Mèder, holding 1 500

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Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Where the points say

Llonganissers Vic's wins match its points

−0.8 wins

Llonganissers Vic's points say about 2 wins in 13 league games. It has 1. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

1Wins so far

1.8Points say

73.5Scored a game

83.7Allowed a game

−10.2Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 13 league games	956
Points allowed	1 088
Allowed ÷ scored	1.1381
To the power of 14	6.1150
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 6.1150)	14.05%
× 13 games played	1.83
Wins the points say	1.8 adds up

Wins so far	1
Difference	−0.8 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Llonganissers Vic won 0 and lost 2. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 13. It is final when the season closes.

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Weakness

A leaky defence

114.9

Llonganissers Vic let in 114.9 per 100 trips against the league's 104.2. Lower is better: 14th of 14.

LVI 114.9

League 104.2

How we counted it

100 × 1 088 allowed ÷ 947 possessions	114.9
League mean, 14 clubs	104.2
Rank, 14 clubs	14th of 14

Weakness

Weak on the glass

19.6 %

Llonganissers Vic win back 19.6 % of their misses. The league wins back 25.3 %. That is 14th of 14.

LVI 19.6 %

League 25.3 %

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: 87 ÷ (87 + 357)	19.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs	14th of 14

Weakness

Few trips to the line

23.0

Llonganissers Vic attempt 23.0 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 25.0, so 12th of 14.

LVI 23.0 %

League 25.0 %

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: 184 tries ÷ 801 shots	23.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.0 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

Best shot-maker

Teodoro Maiyegun

#24 · SF

37/75shots

90points

+15.0vs expected

How we counted it

37 made of 75, 16 of them threes	37/75
Points: 2 × 37 + 16	90
His shots are worth (expected)	75.0
Above expected	90 − 75.0 = +15.0 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 5th of 14

LVI 51.6 %

League 50.6 %

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: (351 + ½ × 125) ÷ 801	51.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	50.6 %
Rank, 14 clubs	5th of 14

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 10th of 14

LVI 17.5 %

League 16.9 %

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: 165 ÷ 942 possessions	17.5 %
League mean, 14 clubs	16.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	10th of 14

Reboundsown misses won back · 14th of 14

LVI 19.6 %

League 25.3 %

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: 87 ÷ (87 + 357)	19.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs	14th of 14

Free throwstries per shot · 12th of 14

LVI 23.0 %

League 25.0 %

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: 184 tries ÷ 801 shots	23.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.0 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

+7.8

Over 6 games Llonganissers Vic's shots were worth 372.2 points and they scored 380 from the floor: 1.3 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

+7.8

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 163 + 54	380
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	372.2
Shot-making	+7.8
A game	+1.31

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.

Llonganissers Vic
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 42 % of 276	15	0.85	12.7
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 42 % of 276	2	0.85	1.7
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 1 164	8	0.79	6.3
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 1 164	1	0.79	0.8
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 238	15	0.80	12.0
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 238	3	0.80	2.4
Mid-range · Pull-up38 % of 385 league shots	21	0.76	15.9
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 518	2	0.76	1.5
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 518	3	0.76	2.3
Rim · Drive60 % of 913 league shots	73	1.20	87.3
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 385	11	1.21	13.3
Rim · Drive · fast break65 % of 269 league shots	16	1.30	20.8
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 209	8	1.17	9.3
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 249	9	1.28	11.5
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 249	2	1.28	2.6
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 249	5	1.28	6.4
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 950	6	1.21	7.3
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 950	3	1.21	3.6
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 950	2	1.21	2.4
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 256	6	0.95	5.7
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 256	4	0.95	3.8
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 256	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 342 league shots	109	0.98	106.5
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 208 league shots	8	0.97	7.7
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 774	10	0.97	9.7
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 774	1	0.97	1.0
Three · Pull-up29 % of 258 league shots	13	0.88	11.5
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 341	1	0.85	0.9
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 341	4	0.85	3.4
Total adds up	363	1.03	372.2

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Where Llonganissers Vic shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

363 of 363 shots shown

44.9%

163 of 363 from the floor, 6 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 76 / 135 56% · avg 2.0 ft 39 of the 76 makes assisted league 61% 152pts

MID 33 / 70 47% · avg 14.5 ft 14 of the 33 makes assisted league 38% 66pts

THREE 54 / 158 34% · avg 25.3 ft 42 of the 54 makes assisted league 32% 162pts

163 of 363 from the floor, 380 points, + 72 from the line

The dots cover 6 of 13 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

95 of 163 makes were assisted (58%): 39 + 14 + 42.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 6 games whose streams are stored, of 13 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 13 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Llonganissers Vic

37% 19% 44%

League

36% 22% 42%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Llonganissers Vic

36% 45% 15%

League

33% 42% 18%

How we counted it

Llonganissers Vic: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	129 drives + 17 post-ups + 162 catch and shoot + 55 pull-ups = 363

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Teodoro Maiyegun SF 31 y

Solid41–60

Age: 31
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 3

37/75 shots 75.0 expected 90 scored ▲ +15.0

Takis Sarić SG 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: -0.1
Contract ends: End of season 4

33/66 shots 71.6 expected 74 scored ▲ +2.4

Nenad Akinbode SF 25 y

Solid41–60

Age: 25
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

29/71 shots 72.4 expected 70 scored ▼ −2.4

A man is listed from 50 shots.