Manage a club, start free

Manzaneros Tunuyán

Founded 1962 in Tunuyán

Gimnasio del Valle de Uco, holding 1 500

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Behind its points

Manzaneros Tunuyán's wins trail its points

−1.5 wins

Manzaneros Tunuyán's points say about 11 wins in 22 league games. It has 10. The table has been a little unkind.

10Wins so far

11.5Points say

77.9Scored a game

77.5Allowed a game

+0.5Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 22 league games	1 714
Points allowed	1 704
Allowed ÷ scored	0.9942
To the power of 14	0.9213
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 0.9213)	52.05%
× 22 games played	11.45
Wins the points say	11.5 adds up

Wins so far	10
Difference	−1.5 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Manzaneros Tunuyán won 2 and lost 6. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 22. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Weakness

Careless with the ball

18.7 %

Manzaneros Tunuyán give it away on 18.7 % of trips against the league's 16.4 %. Fewer is better: 12th of 12.

MTU 18.7 %

League 16.4 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: 305 ÷ 1 632 possessions	18.7 %
League mean, 12 clubs	16.4 %
Rank, 12 clubs	12th of 12

Strength

Strong on the glass

27.0 %

Manzaneros Tunuyán win back 27.0 % of their misses. The league wins back 24.9 %. That is 1st of 12.

MTU 27.0 %

League 24.9 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: 213 ÷ (213 + 575)	27.0 %
League mean, 12 clubs	24.9 %
Rank, 12 clubs	1st of 12

Strength

Plenty of trips to the line

25.7

Manzaneros Tunuyán attempt 25.7 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 23.8, so 3rd of 12.

MTU 25.7 %

League 23.8 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: 363 tries ÷ 1 412 shots	25.7 %
League mean, 12 clubs	23.8 %
Rank, 12 clubs	3rd of 12

Best shot-maker

Ewan Fisher

#51 · SG

87/159shots

214points

+55.2vs expected

How we counted it

87 made of 159, 40 of them threes	87/159
Points: 2 × 87 + 40	214
His shots are worth (expected)	158.8
Above expected	214 − 158.8 = +55.2 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 5th of 12

MTU 50.8 %

League 49.9 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: (612 + ½ × 210) ÷ 1 412	50.8 %
League mean, 12 clubs	49.9 %
Rank, 12 clubs	5th of 12

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 12th of 12

MTU 18.7 %

League 16.4 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: 305 ÷ 1 632 possessions	18.7 %
League mean, 12 clubs	16.4 %
Rank, 12 clubs	12th of 12

Reboundsown misses won back · 1st of 12

MTU 27.0 %

League 24.9 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: 213 ÷ (213 + 575)	27.0 %
League mean, 12 clubs	24.9 %
Rank, 12 clubs	1st of 12

Free throwstries per shot · 3rd of 12

MTU 25.7 %

League 23.8 %

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: 363 tries ÷ 1 412 shots	25.7 %
League mean, 12 clubs	23.8 %
Rank, 12 clubs	3rd of 12

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

0.0

Over 9 games Manzaneros Tunuyán's shots were worth 582.0 points and they scored 582 from the floor: 0.0 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

0.0

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 248 + 86	582
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	582.0
Shot-making	0.0
A game	0.00

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.

Manzaneros Tunuyán
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive36 % of 276 league shots	20	0.72	14.5
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 388	2	0.78	1.5
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 388	5	0.78	3.9
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 550	19	0.74	14.1
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 550	5	0.74	3.7
Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 550	1	0.74	0.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 251 league shots	18	0.80	14.5
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 324	3	0.77	2.3
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 324	1	0.77	0.8
Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 504 league shots	37	0.72	26.7
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 656	9	0.73	6.6
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 656	4	0.73	2.9
Rim · Drive60 % of 1 115 league shots	86	1.19	102.6
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 722	13	1.23	16.0
Rim · Drive · fast break68 % of 353 league shots	24	1.37	32.8
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 722	10	1.23	12.3
Rim · Post-up63 % of 202 league shots	21	1.26	26.4
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 264	2	1.26	2.5
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 63 % of 264	2	1.26	2.5
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 290	14	1.20	16.8
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 290	3	1.20	3.6
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 290	9	1.20	10.8
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 290	1	1.20	1.2
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 396	3	1.22	3.7
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 396	1	1.22	1.2
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 396	4	1.22	4.9
Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 396	2	1.22	2.4
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030	13	0.98	12.8
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030	1	0.98	1.0
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030	1	0.98	1.0
Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030	1	0.98	1.0
Three · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 3 030	1	0.98	1.0
Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 749 league shots	153	0.99	150.9
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance32 % of 257 league shots	22	0.96	21.1
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break35 % of 271 league shots	24	1.04	25.0
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 2 307	2	0.99	2.0
Three · Pull-up32 % of 392 league shots	27	0.96	25.8
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 515	7	0.94	6.6
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 515	2	0.94	1.9
Total adds up	573	1.02	582.0

⁠

Where Manzaneros Tunuyán shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

645 of 645 shots shown

42.2%

272 of 645 from the floor, 10 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 133 / 212 63% · avg 2.1 ft 58 of the 133 makes assisted league 61% 266pts

MID 45 / 141 32% · avg 13.9 ft 25 of the 45 makes assisted league 37% 90pts

THREE 94 / 292 32% · avg 25.2 ft 81 of the 94 makes assisted league 32% 282pts

272 of 645 from the floor, 638 points, + 136 from the line

The dots cover 10 of 22 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

164 of 272 makes were assisted (60%): 58 + 25 + 81.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 9 games whose streams are stored, of 22 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 22 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Manzaneros Tunuyán

34% 22% 44%

League

34% 22% 43%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Manzaneros Tunuyán

31% 9% 44% 17%

League

33% 42% 19%

Manzaneros Tunuyán lean on post-ups: 9.1 % of its shots against the league's 6.6 %.

How we counted it

Manzaneros Tunuyán: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	175 drives + 52 post-ups + 250 catch and shoot + 96 pull-ups = 573

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Ewan Fisher SG 24 y

Solid41–60

Age: 24
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.6
Contract ends: End of season 3

87/159 shots 158.8 expected 214 scored ▲ +55.2

Ciro Endres SF 25 y

Solid41–60

Age: 25
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

41/107 shots 105.7 expected 105 scored ▼ −0.7

Nicolás Prieto PF 25 y

Solid41–60

Age: 25
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: -0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

22/56 shots 55.5 expected 47 scored ▼ −8.5

A man is listed from 50 shots.