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Mylonades Trikala

Founded 1951 in Trikala

Gymnastirio tou Lithaiou, holding 6 500

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Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Behind its points

Mylonades Trikala's wins trail its points

−1.1 wins

Mylonades Trikala's points say about 7 wins in 15 league games. It has 6. The table has been a little unkind.

6Wins so far

7.1Points say

88.1Scored a game

88.7Allowed a game

−0.6Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 15 league games	1 322
Points allowed	1 331
Allowed ÷ scored	1.0068
To the power of 14	1.0996
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 1.0996)	47.63%
× 15 games played	7.14
Wins the points say	7.1 adds up

Wins so far	6
Difference	−1.1 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Mylonades Trikala won 2 and lost 3. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 15. It is final when the season closes.

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Strength

Safe with the ball

15.0 %

Mylonades Trikala give it away on 15.0 % of trips against the league's 16.7 %. Fewer is better: 2nd of 16.

MYT 15.0 %

League 16.7 %

How we counted it

Mylonades Trikala: 168 ÷ 1 119 possessions	15.0 %
League mean, 16 clubs	16.7 %
Rank, 16 clubs	2nd of 16

Strength

A strong attack

118.1

Mylonades Trikala score 118.1 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 113.0. That is 3rd of 16.

MYT 118.1

League 113.0

How we counted it

100 × 1 322 points ÷ 1 119 possessions	118.1
League mean, 16 clubs	113.0
Rank, 16 clubs	3rd of 16

Weakness

A leaky defence

118.9

Mylonades Trikala let in 118.9 per 100 trips against the league's 113.0. Lower is better: 14th of 16.

MYT 118.9

League 113.0

How we counted it

100 × 1 331 allowed ÷ 1 119 possessions	118.9
League mean, 16 clubs	113.0
Rank, 16 clubs	14th of 16

Best shot-maker

Cemil Obiora

#49 · SG

61/103shots

141points

+29.4vs expected

How we counted it

61 made of 103, 19 of them threes	61/103
Points: 2 × 61 + 19	141
His shots are worth (expected)	111.6
Above expected	141 − 111.6 = +29.4 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 6th of 16

MYT 55.2 %

League 54.3 %

How we counted it

Mylonades Trikala: (476 + ½ × 143) ÷ 991	55.2 %
League mean, 16 clubs	54.3 %
Rank, 16 clubs	6th of 16

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 2nd of 16

MYT 15.0 %

League 16.7 %

How we counted it

Mylonades Trikala: 168 ÷ 1 119 possessions	15.0 %
League mean, 16 clubs	16.7 %
Rank, 16 clubs	2nd of 16

Reboundsown misses won back · 3rd of 16

MYT 29.1 %

League 26.9 %

How we counted it

Mylonades Trikala: 143 ÷ (143 + 349)	29.1 %
League mean, 16 clubs	26.9 %
Rank, 16 clubs	3rd of 16

Free throwstries per shot · 3rd of 16

MYT 30.6 %

League 27.0 %

How we counted it

Mylonades Trikala: 303 tries ÷ 991 shots	30.6 %
League mean, 16 clubs	27.0 %
Rank, 16 clubs	3rd of 16

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

+4.9

Over 7 games Mylonades Trikala's shots were worth 500.1 points and they scored 505 from the floor: 0.7 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

+4.9

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 219 + 67	505
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	500.1
Shot-making	+4.9
A game	+0.71

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 15.

Mylonades Trikala
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive39 % of 224 league shots	14	0.79	11.0
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 307	2	0.82	1.6
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 307	5	0.82	4.1
Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 307	1	0.82	0.8
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 1 352	10	0.84	8.4
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 1 352	3	0.84	2.5
Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 209 league shots	14	0.80	11.3
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 268	1	0.87	0.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 268	1	0.87	0.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 268	1	0.87	0.9
Mid-range · Pull-up44 % of 436 league shots	39	0.89	34.5
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 603	6	0.86	5.2
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 603	7	0.86	6.0
Rim · Drive63 % of 936 league shots	65	1.26	81.8
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 508	14	1.24	17.4
Rim · Drive · fast break62 % of 357 league shots	29	1.23	35.7
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 508	2	1.24	2.5
Rim · Post-up58 % of 245 league shots	28	1.16	32.5
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 300	2	1.13	2.3
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 300	2	1.13	2.3
Rim · Catch and shoot62 % of 221 league shots	13	1.23	16.0
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 339	1	1.24	1.2
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 339	6	1.24	7.4
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 309	6	1.23	7.4
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 309	2	1.23	2.5
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 309	4	1.23	4.9
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 220	11	1.13	12.4
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 220	3	1.13	3.4
Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 690	2	1.06	2.1
Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 466 league shots	101	1.04	104.8
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance37 % of 235 league shots	22	1.11	24.4
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break38 % of 258 league shots	17	1.14	19.4
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 2 012	1	1.07	1.1
Three · Pull-up33 % of 330 league shots	21	0.98	20.6
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 439	7	0.99	6.9
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 439	3	0.99	3.0
Total adds up	466	1.07	500.1

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Where Mylonades Trikala shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

466 of 466 shots shown

47.0%

219 of 466 from the floor, 7 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 104 / 174 60% · avg 2.0 ft 68 of the 104 makes assisted league 63% 208pts

MID 48 / 104 46% · avg 13.9 ft 21 of the 48 makes assisted league 41% 96pts

THREE 67 / 188 36% · avg 25.2 ft 59 of the 67 makes assisted league 36% 201pts

219 of 466 from the floor, 505 points, + 101 from the line

The dots cover 7 of 15 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

148 of 219 makes were assisted (68%): 68 + 21 + 59.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 7 games whose streams are stored, of 15 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 15 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Mylonades Trikala

37% 22% 40%

League

36% 21% 42%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Mylonades Trikala

31% 10% 38% 20%

League

32% 41% 19%

Mylonades Trikala lean on post-ups: 10.1 % of its shots against the league's 7.8 %.

How we counted it

Mylonades Trikala: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	146 drives + 47 post-ups + 178 catch and shoot + 95 pull-ups = 466

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Cemil Obiora SG 23 y

Strong61–80

Age: 23
Potential: Elite (81–99)
Form: 0.7
Contract ends: End of season 3

61/103 shots 111.6 expected 141 scored ▲ +29.4

Griffin Dyer PF 19 y

Strong61–80

Age: 19
Potential: Elite (81–99)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

30/51 shots 56.8 expected 68 scored ▲ +11.2

Ploutarchos Radovanović SF 27 y

Solid41–60

Age: 27
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 3

28/57 shots 58.6 expected 67 scored ▲ +8.4

Lincoln Arnold SF 21 y

Solid41–60

Age: 21
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

36/76 shots 82.5 expected 82 scored ▼ −0.5

Toni Kolundžić SG 26 y

Solid41–60

Age: 26
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

18/50 shots 53.1 expected 45 scored ▼ −8.1

A man is listed from 50 shots.