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Watching Europe and South America 69 leagues

Pastiri Ivanjica

Founded 1960 in Ivanjica

Dvorana na Moravici, holding 2 000

⁠
The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Weakness

Careless with the ball

17.3 %

Pastiri Ivanjica give it away on 17.3 % of trips against the league's 16.4 %. Fewer is better: 12th of 14.

PAI 17.3 %
League 16.4 %
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: 151 ÷ 871 possessions17.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs16.4 %
Rank, 14 clubs12th of 14
Weakness

A leaky defence

105.5

Pastiri Ivanjica let in 105.5 per 100 trips against the league's 103.7. Lower is better: 11th of 14.

PAI 105.5
League 103.7
How we counted it
100 × 925 allowed ÷ 877 possessions105.5
League mean, 14 clubs103.7
Rank, 14 clubs11th of 14
Strength

Strong on the glass

27.0 %

Pastiri Ivanjica win back 27.0 % of their misses. The league wins back 25.2 %. That is 4th of 14.

PAI 27.0 %
League 25.2 %
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: 114 ÷ (114 + 309)27.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs25.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs4th of 14
Best shot-maker

Aca Horn

#87 · PG

28/62shots
65points
+3.6vs expected
How we counted it
28 made of 62, 9 of them threes28/62
Points: 2 × 28 + 965
His shots are worth (expected)61.4
Above expected65 − 61.4 = +3.6 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 8th of 14
PAI 50.0 %
League 50.0 %
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: (333 + ½ × 111) ÷ 77750.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs50.0 %
Rank, 14 clubs8th of 14
Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 12th of 14
PAI 17.3 %
League 16.4 %
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: 151 ÷ 871 possessions17.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs16.4 %
Rank, 14 clubs12th of 14
Reboundsown misses won back · 4th of 14
PAI 27.0 %
League 25.2 %
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: 114 ÷ (114 + 309)27.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs25.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs4th of 14
Free throwstries per shot · 4th of 14
PAI 24.5 %
League 22.4 %
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: 190 tries ÷ 777 shots24.5 %
League mean, 14 clubs22.4 %
Rank, 14 clubs4th of 14

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

−2.3

Over 5 games Pastiri Ivanjica's shots were worth 325.3 points and they scored 323 from the floor: 0.5 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

How we counted it
Points: 2 × 140 + 43323
Expected points, the squad's shots added up325.3
Shot-making−2.3
A game−0.46

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 12.

Pastiri Ivanjica
Kind of shotShotsWorthPoints
Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 24880.715.7
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 24820.711.4
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 24820.711.4
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 98480.756.0
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 98410.750.7
Mid-range · Post-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 98410.750.7
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 20150.834.1
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 20110.830.8
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 20110.830.8
Mid-range · Pull-up35 % of 297 league shots220.7015.4
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 40380.756.0
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 40350.753.7
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 40310.750.8
Rim · Drive60 % of 733 league shots481.2057.6
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 12471.218.5
Rim · Drive · fast break60 % of 246 league shots171.2020.5
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 12451.216.1
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 578121.2114.5
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57831.213.6
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57811.211.2
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57881.219.7
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57811.211.2
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57861.217.3
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57831.213.6
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 57871.218.5
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 1 94510.951.0
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 1 94510.951.0
Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 1 94520.951.9
Three · Catch and shoot30 % of 1 115 league shots840.9176.6
Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 499140.9313.0
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 499210.9319.5
Three · Pull-up34 % of 253 league shots121.0112.1
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 32661.046.2
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 32641.044.2
Total adds up3280.99325.3

Shot quality is counted from the 5 games whose streams are stored, of 12 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

league 0 Round 1: +12 Round 2: +15 Round 3: −29 Round 4: −5 Round 5: +21 Round 6: +9 Round 7: −32 Round 8: +17 Round 9: −11 Round 10: −8 Round 11: +19 Round 12: −10

Offence

league 104 Round 1: 111 Round 2: 104 Round 3: 93 Round 4: 103 Round 5: 114 Round 6: 100 Round 7: 104 Round 8: 99 Round 9: 107 Round 10: 96 Round 11: 124 Round 12: 110

Shooting %

league 50 Round 1: 60 Round 2: 48 Round 3: 46 Round 4: 51 Round 5: 50 Round 6: 49 Round 7: 50 Round 8: 43 Round 9: 49 Round 10: 48 Round 11: 59 Round 12: 47

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 12 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree
Pastiri Ivanjica
36% 20% 44%
League
35% 22% 43%
DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up
Pastiri Ivanjica
28% 9% 44% 20%
League
33% 42% 18%
How we counted it
Pastiri Ivanjica: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups91 drives + 28 post-ups + 144 catch and shoot + 65 pull-ups = 328

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Aca Horn PG Point guard Squad number 87 30 y
More about Aca Horn Overall Strong61–80
Age
30
Potential
Strong (61–80)
Form
0.1
Contract ends
End of season 3
28/62 shots 61.4 expected 65 scored ▲ +3.6

A man is listed from 50 shots.