Manage a club, start free

Peigneurs Tourcoing

Founded 1939 in Tourcoing

Salle des Filatures, holding 2 500

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Where the points say

Peigneurs Tourcoing's wins match its points

+0.9 wins

Peigneurs Tourcoing's points say about 8 wins in 13 league games. It has 9. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

9Wins so far

8.1Points say

82.5Scored a game

79.6Allowed a game

+2.8Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 13 league games	1 072
Points allowed	1 035
Allowed ÷ scored	0.9655
To the power of 14	0.6116
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 0.6116)	62.05%
× 13 games played	8.07
Wins the points say	8.1 adds up

Wins so far	9
Difference	+0.9 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Peigneurs Tourcoing won 3 and lost 1. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 13. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Strength

A solid defence

105.9

Peigneurs Tourcoing let in 105.9 per 100 trips against the league's 108.2. Lower is better: 3rd of 14.

PET 105.9

League 108.2

How we counted it

100 × 1 035 allowed ÷ 977 possessions	105.9
League mean, 14 clubs	108.2
Rank, 14 clubs	3rd of 14

Strength

Plenty of trips to the line

27.3

Peigneurs Tourcoing attempt 27.3 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 23.3, so 3rd of 14.

PET 27.3 %

League 23.3 %

How we counted it

Peigneurs Tourcoing: 233 tries ÷ 852 shots	27.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs	23.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs	3rd of 14

Strength

A strong attack

109.7

Peigneurs Tourcoing score 109.7 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 108.2. That is 6th of 14.

PET 109.7

League 108.2

How we counted it

100 × 1 072 points ÷ 977 possessions	109.7
League mean, 14 clubs	108.2
Rank, 14 clubs	6th of 14

Best shot-maker

Othon Pla

#6 · C

24/53shots

54points

+0.6vs expected

How we counted it

24 made of 53, 6 of them threes	24/53
Points: 2 × 24 + 6	54
His shots are worth (expected)	53.4
Above expected	54 − 53.4 = +0.6 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 6th of 14

PET 52.3 %

League 51.9 %

How we counted it

Peigneurs Tourcoing: (384 + ½ × 124) ÷ 852	52.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs	51.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	6th of 14

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 9th of 14

PET 17.0 %

League 16.2 %

How we counted it

Peigneurs Tourcoing: 166 ÷ 977 possessions	17.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs	16.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs	9th of 14

Reboundsown misses won back · 7th of 14

PET 26.3 %

League 26.2 %

How we counted it

Peigneurs Tourcoing: 115 ÷ (115 + 322)	26.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs	26.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs	7th of 14

Free throwstries per shot · 3rd of 14

PET 27.3 %

League 23.3 %

How we counted it

Peigneurs Tourcoing: 233 tries ÷ 852 shots	27.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs	23.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs	3rd of 14

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

Unlucky so far

Your shots have not paid off at all

−32.8

Over 6 games Peigneurs Tourcoing's shots were worth 412.8 points and they scored 380 from the floor: 5.5 a game worse than the league would do from the same shots.

−32.8

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 166 + 48	380
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	412.8
Shot-making	−32.8
A game	−5.46

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.

Peigneurs Tourcoing
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 271	7	0.80	5.6
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 271	2	0.80	1.6
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 271	5	0.80	4.0
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 192	10	0.74	7.4
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 192	4	0.74	3.0
Mid-range · Catch and shoot40 % of 210 league shots	10	0.79	7.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 278	2	0.80	1.6
Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 373 league shots	11	0.72	8.0
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 496	4	0.72	2.9
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 496	5	0.72	3.6
Rim · Drive63 % of 820 league shots	63	1.26	79.6
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 1 273	11	1.28	14.1
Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 276 league shots	25	1.33	33.1
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 64 % of 1 273	5	1.28	6.4
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 216	12	1.19	14.2
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 213	13	1.24	16.1
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 213	4	1.24	5.0
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 213	7	1.24	8.7
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 795	4	1.27	5.1
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 795	2	1.27	2.5
Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 63 % of 1 795	1	1.27	1.3
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 303	2	1.04	2.1
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 303	1	1.04	1.0
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 303	7	1.04	7.3
Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 2 303	1	1.04	1.0
Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 338 league shots	104	1.06	110.1
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance31 % of 206 league shots	15	0.93	14.0
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break41 % of 203 league shots	15	1.23	18.4
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 1 778	2	1.06	2.1
Three · Pull-up32 % of 305 league shots	20	0.96	19.3
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 389	3	0.97	2.9
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 389	2	0.97	1.9
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 389	1	0.97	1.0
Total adds up	380	1.09	412.8

⁠

Where Peigneurs Tourcoing shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

380 of 380 shots shown

43.7%

166 of 380 from the floor, 6 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 93 / 147 63% · avg 1.9 ft 43 of the 93 makes assisted league 62% 186pts

MID 25 / 60 42% · avg 14.3 ft 10 of the 25 makes assisted league 38% 50pts

THREE 48 / 173 28% · avg 25.0 ft 33 of the 48 makes assisted league 34% 144pts

166 of 380 from the floor, 380 points, + 88 from the line

The dots cover 6 of 13 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

86 of 166 makes were assisted (52%): 43 + 10 + 33.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 6 games whose streams are stored, of 13 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 13 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Peigneurs Tourcoing

39% 16% 46%

League

34% 23% 44%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Peigneurs Tourcoing

34% 45% 14%

League

32% 43% 18%

How we counted it

Peigneurs Tourcoing: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	129 drives + 26 post-ups + 172 catch and shoot + 53 pull-ups = 380

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Othon Pla C 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

24/53 shots 53.4 expected 54 scored ▲ +0.6

Salomon Colombel SG 24 y

Solid41–60

Age: 24
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.3
Contract ends: End of season 3

35/81 shots 88.3 expected 82 scored ▼ −6.3

A man is listed from 50 shots.