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Piastrellai Sassuolo

Founded 1972 in Sassuolo

Palestra di Braida, holding 500

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Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Where the points say

Piastrellai Sassuolo's wins match its points

+0.7 wins

Piastrellai Sassuolo's points say about 5 wins in 13 league games. It has 6. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

6Wins so far

5.3Points say

70.0Scored a game

71.9Allowed a game

−1.9Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 13 league games	910
Points allowed	935
Allowed ÷ scored	1.0275
To the power of 14	1.4614
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 1.4614)	40.63%
× 13 games played	5.28
Wins the points say	5.3 adds up

Wins so far	6
Difference	+0.7 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Piastrellai Sassuolo won 1 and lost 1. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 13. It is final when the season closes.

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Weakness

Few trips to the line

16.6

Piastrellai Sassuolo attempt 16.6 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 19.1, so 12th of 14.

PIS 16.6 %

League 19.1 %

How we counted it

Piastrellai Sassuolo: 144 tries ÷ 868 shots	16.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	19.1 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

Weakness

A thin attack

97.6

Piastrellai Sassuolo score 97.6 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 100.1. That is 11th of 14.

PIS 97.6

League 100.1

How we counted it

100 × 910 points ÷ 932 possessions	97.6
League mean, 14 clubs	100.1
Rank, 14 clubs	11th of 14

Weakness

A leaky defence

100.0

Piastrellai Sassuolo let in 100.0 per 100 trips against the league's 100.1. Lower is better: 8th of 14.

PIS 100.0

League 100.1

How we counted it

100 × 935 allowed ÷ 935 possessions	100.0
League mean, 14 clubs	100.1
Rank, 14 clubs	8th of 14

Best shot-maker

Armand Garcia

#48 · SF

29/54shots

68points

+18.7vs expected

How we counted it

29 made of 54, 10 of them threes	29/54
Points: 2 × 29 + 10	68
His shots are worth (expected)	49.3
Above expected	68 − 49.3 = +18.7 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 7th of 14

PIS 46.8 %

League 47.3 %

How we counted it

Piastrellai Sassuolo: (351 + ½ × 110) ÷ 868	46.8 %
League mean, 14 clubs	47.3 %
Rank, 14 clubs	7th of 14

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 8th of 14

PIS 15.3 %

League 14.9 %

How we counted it

Piastrellai Sassuolo: 143 ÷ 932 possessions	15.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs	14.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	8th of 14

Reboundsown misses won back · 8th of 14

PIS 24.6 %

League 25.5 %

How we counted it

Piastrellai Sassuolo: 120 ÷ (120 + 368)	24.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.5 %
Rank, 14 clubs	8th of 14

Free throwstries per shot · 12th of 14

PIS 16.6 %

League 19.1 %

How we counted it

Piastrellai Sassuolo: 144 tries ÷ 868 shots	16.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	19.1 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

+4.1

Over 6 games Piastrellai Sassuolo's shots were worth 360.9 points and they scored 365 from the floor: 0.7 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

+4.1

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 159 + 47	365
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	360.9
Shot-making	+4.1
A game	+0.69

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.

Piastrellai Sassuolo
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive36 % of 229 league shots	12	0.72	8.7
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 332	1	0.74	0.7
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 332	3	0.74	2.2
Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 332	2	0.74	1.5
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 336	2	0.70	1.4
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 336	2	0.70	1.4
Mid-range · Catch and shoot36 % of 250 league shots	18	0.71	12.8
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 323	4	0.77	3.1
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 323	2	0.77	1.5
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 323	1	0.77	0.8
Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 401 league shots	25	0.71	17.8
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 535	7	0.68	4.7
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 535	5	0.68	3.4
Rim · Drive57 % of 950 league shots	64	1.15	73.4
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 448	18	1.13	20.4
Rim · Drive · fast break58 % of 283 league shots	22	1.17	25.7
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 448	2	1.13	2.3
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 881	9	1.13	10.2
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 881	2	1.13	2.3
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 881	16	1.13	18.1
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 881	5	1.13	5.7
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 881	5	1.13	5.7
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 881	3	1.13	3.4
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 2 283	5	0.91	4.5
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 2 283	1	0.91	0.9
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 30 % of 2 283	3	0.91	2.7
Three · Catch and shoot31 % of 1 356 league shots	91	0.93	85.0
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance25 % of 223 league shots	13	0.74	9.6
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 794	15	0.92	13.9
Three · Pull-up25 % of 285 league shots	21	0.74	15.5
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 367	1	0.83	0.8
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 367	1	0.83	0.8
Total adds up	381	0.95	360.9

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Where Piastrellai Sassuolo shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

381 of 381 shots shown

41.7%

159 of 381 from the floor, 6 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 78 / 146 53% · avg 1.9 ft 44 of the 78 makes assisted league 58% 156pts

MID 34 / 84 41% · avg 14.6 ft 15 of the 34 makes assisted league 35% 68pts

THREE 47 / 151 31% · avg 25.3 ft 42 of the 47 makes assisted league 30% 141pts

159 of 381 from the floor, 365 points, + 58 from the line

The dots cover 6 of 13 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

101 of 159 makes were assisted (64%): 44 + 15 + 42.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 6 games whose streams are stored, of 13 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 13 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Piastrellai Sassuolo

38% 22% 40%

League

34% 24% 42%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Piastrellai Sassuolo

35% 45% 17%

League

34% 42% 18%

How we counted it

Piastrellai Sassuolo: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	133 drives + 15 post-ups + 170 catch and shoot + 63 pull-ups = 381

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Armand Garcia SF 32 y

Solid41–60

Age: 32
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.3
Contract ends: End of season 4

29/54 shots 49.3 expected 68 scored ▲ +18.7

Primo Roldán SG 32 y

Solid41–60

Age: 32
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 3

20/59 shots 53.7 expected 51 scored ▼ −2.7

Sandro Dokić PG 24 y

Solid41–60

Age: 24
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: -0.1
Contract ends: End of season 1

32/83 shots 78.4 expected 70 scored ▼ −8.4

A man is listed from 50 shots.