Manage a club, start free

Raspadura Lodi

Founded 1975 in Lodi

Palestra dei Barnabiti, holding 500

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Where the points say

Raspadura Lodi's wins match its points

−0.1 wins

Raspadura Lodi's points say about 2 wins in 13 league games. It has 2. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

2Wins so far

2.1Points say

72.9Scored a game

82.1Allowed a game

−9.2Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 13 league games	948
Points allowed	1 067
Allowed ÷ scored	1.1255
To the power of 14	5.2358
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 5.2358)	16.04%
× 13 games played	2.08
Wins the points say	2.1 adds up

Wins so far	2
Difference	−0.1 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Raspadura Lodi won 0 and lost 4. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 13. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Weakness

A leaky defence

115.0

Raspadura Lodi let in 115.0 per 100 trips against the league's 101.0. Lower is better: 14th of 14.

RAL 115.0

League 101.0

How we counted it

100 × 1 067 allowed ÷ 928 possessions	115.0
League mean, 14 clubs	101.0
Rank, 14 clubs	14th of 14

Strength

Hot shooting

51.6 %

Raspadura Lodi shoot 51.6 % effective. The league shoots 47.9 %. That is 2nd of 14.

RAL 51.6 %

League 47.9 %

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: (345 + ½ × 163) ÷ 827	51.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	47.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	2nd of 14

Weakness

Weak on the glass

20.4 %

Raspadura Lodi win back 20.4 % of their misses. The league wins back 25.6 %. That is 12th of 14.

RAL 20.4 %

League 25.6 %

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: 91 ÷ (91 + 356)	20.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.6 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

Best shot-maker

Arturo Madu

#38 · SG

51/117shots

132points

+21.5vs expected

How we counted it

51 made of 117, 30 of them threes	51/117
Points: 2 × 51 + 30	132
His shots are worth (expected)	110.5
Above expected	132 − 110.5 = +21.5 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 2nd of 14

RAL 51.6 %

League 47.9 %

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: (345 + ½ × 163) ÷ 827	51.6 %
League mean, 14 clubs	47.9 %
Rank, 14 clubs	2nd of 14

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 11th of 14

RAL 16.0 %

League 15.2 %

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: 147 ÷ 920 possessions	16.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs	15.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs	11th of 14

Reboundsown misses won back · 12th of 14

RAL 20.4 %

League 25.6 %

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: 91 ÷ (91 + 356)	20.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs	25.6 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

Free throwstries per shot · 12th of 14

RAL 16.0 %

League 19.7 %

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: 132 tries ÷ 827 shots	16.0 %
League mean, 14 clubs	19.7 %
Rank, 14 clubs	12th of 14

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

Lucky so far

Your shots have paid off

+34.5

Over 6 games Raspadura Lodi's shots were worth 356.5 points and they scored 391 from the floor: 5.8 a game better than the league would do from the same shots.

+34.5

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 158 + 75	391
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	356.5
Shot-making	+34.5
A game	+5.76

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.

Raspadura Lodi
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive35 % of 222 league shots	19	0.69	13.2
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 325	2	0.69	1.4
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 325	2	0.69	1.4
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 308	3	0.70	2.1
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 308	1	0.70	0.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot33 % of 234 league shots	22	0.67	14.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 299	3	0.71	2.1
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 299	3	0.71	2.1
Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 414 league shots	23	0.73	16.8
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 543	5	0.70	3.5
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 543	3	0.70	2.1
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 543	1	0.70	0.7
Rim · Drive55 % of 842 league shots	51	1.10	56.3
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 261	9	1.14	10.2
Rim · Drive · fast break62 % of 239 league shots	6	1.23	7.4
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 57 % of 1 261	1	1.14	1.1
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	3	1.14	3.4
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	5	1.14	5.7
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	1	1.14	1.2
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	2	1.14	2.3
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	3	1.14	3.4
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	1	1.14	1.1
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 670	2	1.14	2.3
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 439	8	0.95	7.6
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 439	3	0.95	2.9
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 439	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 428 league shots	126	0.97	122.8
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance29 % of 252 league shots	22	0.87	19.1
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 893	15	0.95	14.3
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 893	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Pull-up32 % of 307 league shots	29	0.96	27.8
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 383	2	0.99	2.0
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 383	1	0.99	1.0
Total adds up	381	0.94	356.5

⁠

Where Raspadura Lodi shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

381 of 381 shots shown

41.5%

158 of 381 from the floor, 6 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 50 / 84 60% · avg 2.0 ft 27 of the 50 makes assisted league 58% 100pts

MID 33 / 87 38% · avg 14.7 ft 13 of the 33 makes assisted league 37% 66pts

THREE 75 / 210 36% · avg 25.1 ft 67 of the 75 makes assisted league 31% 225pts

158 of 381 from the floor, 391 points, + 51 from the line

The dots cover 6 of 13 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

107 of 158 makes were assisted (68%): 27 + 13 + 67.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 6 games whose streams are stored, of 13 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 13 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Raspadura Lodi

22% 23% 55%

League

31% 24% 45%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Raspadura Lodi

27% 53% 18%

League

32% 43% 19%

How we counted it

Raspadura Lodi: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	103 drives + 7 post-ups + 201 catch and shoot + 70 pull-ups = 381

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Arturo Madu SG 29 y

Solid41–60

Age: 29
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.3
Contract ends: End of season 3

51/117 shots 110.5 expected 132 scored ▲ +21.5

Hugo Falcón SF 29 y

Solid41–60

Age: 29
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 4

27/72 shots 68.1 expected 72 scored ▲ +3.9

Ercole Nnadi PG 24 y

Solid41–60

Age: 24
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

28/66 shots 62.1 expected 65 scored ▲ +2.9

A man is listed from 50 shots.