Manage a club, start free

Salyklininkai Pasvalys

Founded 1971 in Pasvalys

Lėvens salė, holding 2 000

⁠

Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

See all terms

Ahead of its points

Salyklininkai Pasvalys's wins run ahead of its points

+3.4 wins

Salyklininkai Pasvalys's points say about 12 wins in 22 league games. It has 15. The table has been a little kind.

15Wins so far

11.6Points say

76.3Scored a game

75.7Allowed a game

+0.5Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 22 league games	1 678
Points allowed	1 666
Allowed ÷ scored	0.9928
To the power of 14	0.9044
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 0.9044)	52.51%
× 22 games played	11.55
Wins the points say	11.6 adds up

Wins so far	15
Difference	+3.4 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Salyklininkai Pasvalys won 6 and lost 0. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 22. It is final when the season closes.

⁠

The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

See all terms

Strength

Safe with the ball

15.4 %

Salyklininkai Pasvalys give it away on 15.4 % of trips against the league's 16.6 %. Fewer is better: 2nd of 12.

SAP 15.4 %

League 16.6 %

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: 249 ÷ 1 621 possessions	15.4 %
League mean, 12 clubs	16.6 %
Rank, 12 clubs	2nd of 12

Strength

A solid defence

102.5

Salyklininkai Pasvalys let in 102.5 per 100 trips against the league's 104.9. Lower is better: 4th of 12.

SAP 102.5

League 104.9

How we counted it

100 × 1 666 allowed ÷ 1 626 possessions	102.5
League mean, 12 clubs	104.9
Rank, 12 clubs	4th of 12

Weakness

Cold shooting

48.0 %

Salyklininkai Pasvalys shoot 48.0 % effective. The league shoots 50.0 %. That is 9th of 12.

SAP 48.0 %

League 50.0 %

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: (624 + ½ × 180) ÷ 1 489	48.0 %
League mean, 12 clubs	50.0 %
Rank, 12 clubs	9th of 12

Best shot-maker

Bartolomėjus Endriukaitis

#85 · SG

26/50shots

61points

+10.0vs expected

How we counted it

26 made of 50, 9 of them threes	26/50
Points: 2 × 26 + 9	61
His shots are worth (expected)	51.0
Above expected	61 − 51.0 = +10.0 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 9th of 12

SAP 48.0 %

League 50.0 %

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: (624 + ½ × 180) ÷ 1 489	48.0 %
League mean, 12 clubs	50.0 %
Rank, 12 clubs	9th of 12

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 2nd of 12

SAP 15.4 %

League 16.6 %

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: 249 ÷ 1 621 possessions	15.4 %
League mean, 12 clubs	16.6 %
Rank, 12 clubs	2nd of 12

Reboundsown misses won back · 5th of 12

SAP 27.9 %

League 27.0 %

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: 232 ÷ (232 + 601)	27.9 %
League mean, 12 clubs	27.0 %
Rank, 12 clubs	5th of 12

Free throwstries per shot · 6th of 12

SAP 23.0 %

League 22.7 %

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: 343 tries ÷ 1 489 shots	23.0 %
League mean, 12 clubs	22.7 %
Rank, 12 clubs	6th of 12

⁠

Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

See all terms

As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

−18.6

Over 10 games Salyklininkai Pasvalys's shots were worth 660.6 points and they scored 642 from the floor: 1.9 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

−18.6

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 278 + 86	642
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	660.6
Shot-making	−18.6
A game	−1.86

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.

Salyklininkai Pasvalys
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive40 % of 251 league shots	27	0.80	21.5
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 368	4	0.76	3.0
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 38 % of 368	8	0.76	6.1
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 203	18	0.69	12.4
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 203	4	0.69	2.8
Mid-range · Post-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 203	1	0.69	0.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot42 % of 272 league shots	27	0.83	22.4
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 358	5	0.80	4.0
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 358	2	0.80	1.6
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 358	3	0.80	2.4
Mid-range · Pull-up41 % of 471 league shots	30	0.81	24.3
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 603	4	0.83	3.3
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 603	2	0.83	1.7
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 603	1	0.83	0.8
Rim · Drive60 % of 1 052 league shots	110	1.20	132.2
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 653	13	1.22	15.9
Rim · Drive · fast break64 % of 367 league shots	31	1.28	39.5
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 653	9	1.22	11.0
Rim · Post-up59 % of 215 league shots	15	1.18	17.7
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 287	4	1.23	4.9
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 287	1	1.23	1.2
Rim · Post-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 287	1	1.23	1.2
Rim · Catch and shoot57 % of 209 league shots	21	1.14	23.9
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 336	2	1.15	2.3
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 336	7	1.15	8.1
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 58 % of 336	1	1.15	1.2
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 416	11	1.22	13.4
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 416	2	1.22	2.4
Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 2 416	1	1.22	1.2
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 3 137	5	0.95	4.8
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 3 137	1	0.95	1.0
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 3 137	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 3 137	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 862 league shots	182	0.97	176.8
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 343 league shots	23	0.84	19.3
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break32 % of 270 league shots	24	0.96	22.9
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 2 508	4	0.96	3.8
Three · Pull-up30 % of 328 league shots	35	0.90	31.4
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 452	7	0.91	6.4
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 30 % of 452	8	0.91	7.3
Total adds up	658	1.00	660.6

⁠

Where Salyklininkai Pasvalys shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

See all terms

Every shot this season

658 of 658 shots shown

42.2%

278 of 658 from the floor, 10 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 140 / 229 61% · avg 2.1 ft 75 of the 140 makes assisted league 61% 280pts

MID 52 / 136 38% · avg 14.7 ft 24 of the 52 makes assisted league 38% 104pts

THREE 86 / 293 29% · avg 25.2 ft 77 of the 86 makes assisted league 32% 258pts

278 of 658 from the floor, 642 points, + 100 from the line

The dots cover 10 of 22 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

176 of 278 makes were assisted (63%): 75 + 24 + 77.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 10 games whose streams are stored, of 22 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 22 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Salyklininkai Pasvalys

35% 21% 45%

League

34% 22% 44%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Salyklininkai Pasvalys

32% 46% 15%

League

31% 45% 17%

How we counted it

Salyklininkai Pasvalys: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	212 drives + 44 post-ups + 301 catch and shoot + 101 pull-ups = 658

⁠

Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

See all terms

Bartolomėjus Endriukaitis SG 22 y

Solid41–60

Age: 22
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.4
Contract ends: End of season 4

26/50 shots 51.0 expected 61 scored ▲ +10.0

Pablo Palacios SF 20 y

Solid41–60

Age: 20
Potential: Elite (81–99)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 4

46/93 shots 97.4 expected 99 scored ▲ +1.6

Jefta Stopar SG 25 y

Solid41–60

Age: 25
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: -0.1
Contract ends: End of season 4

35/99 shots 96.1 expected 95 scored ▼ −1.1

Lauras Pupkis PG 26 y

Solid41–60

Age: 26
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

60/146 shots 145.2 expected 142 scored ▼ −3.2

Vidmantas Kriaučiūnas Injured SF 20 y

Solid41–60

Age: 20
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 3

33/89 shots 90.0 expected 75 scored ▼ −15.0

A man is listed from 50 shots.