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Sardanistes Figueres

Founded 1948 in Figueres

Pavelló de la Muga, holding 500

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Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Where the points say

Sardanistes Figueres's wins match its points

−0.3 wins

Sardanistes Figueres's points say about 10 wins in 13 league games. It has 10. A gap under 1 win says nothing yet.

10Wins so far

10.3Points say

79.2Scored a game

72.0Allowed a game

+7.2Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 13 league games	1 029
Points allowed	936
Allowed ÷ scored	0.9096
To the power of 14	0.2655
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 0.2655)	79.02%
× 13 games played	10.27
Wins the points say	10.3 adds up

Wins so far	10
Difference	−0.3 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Sardanistes Figueres won 2 and lost 1. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 13. It is final when the season closes.

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Strength

Strong on the glass

29.4 %

Sardanistes Figueres win back 29.4 % of their misses. The league wins back 24.2 %. That is 1st of 14.

SFI 29.4 %

League 24.2 %

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: 141 ÷ (141 + 338)	29.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs	24.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs	1st of 14

Strength

A strong attack

109.0

Sardanistes Figueres score 109.0 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 99.6. That is 2nd of 14.

SFI 109.0

League 99.6

How we counted it

100 × 1 029 points ÷ 944 possessions	109.0
League mean, 14 clubs	99.6
Rank, 14 clubs	2nd of 14

Strength

Plenty of trips to the line

23.4

Sardanistes Figueres attempt 23.4 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 20.7, so 2nd of 14.

SFI 23.4 %

League 20.7 %

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: 204 tries ÷ 873 shots	23.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs	20.7 %
Rank, 14 clubs	2nd of 14

Best shot-maker

Jacinto Salazar

#88 · SG

65/142shots

152points

+15.9vs expected

How we counted it

65 made of 142, 22 of them threes	65/142
Points: 2 × 65 + 22	152
His shots are worth (expected)	136.1
Above expected	152 − 136.1 = +15.9 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 3rd of 14

SFI 50.9 %

League 48.1 %

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: (379 + ½ × 130) ÷ 873	50.9 %
League mean, 14 clubs	48.1 %
Rank, 14 clubs	3rd of 14

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 5th of 14

SFI 15.3 %

League 16.0 %

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: 144 ÷ 944 possessions	15.3 %
League mean, 14 clubs	16.0 %
Rank, 14 clubs	5th of 14

Reboundsown misses won back · 1st of 14

SFI 29.4 %

League 24.2 %

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: 141 ÷ (141 + 338)	29.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs	24.2 %
Rank, 14 clubs	1st of 14

Free throwstries per shot · 2nd of 14

SFI 23.4 %

League 20.7 %

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: 204 tries ÷ 873 shots	23.4 %
League mean, 14 clubs	20.7 %
Rank, 14 clubs	2nd of 14

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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As expected

Right on what the shots are worth

+2.2

Over 6 games Sardanistes Figueres's shots were worth 374.8 points and they scored 377 from the floor: 0.4 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.

+2.2

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 163 + 51	377
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	374.8
Shot-making	+2.2
A game	+0.37

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.

Sardanistes Figueres
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive35 % of 226 league shots	21	0.69	14.5
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 305	5	0.70	3.5
Mid-range · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 305	1	0.70	0.7
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 212	10	0.73	7.3
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 212	1	0.73	0.7
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249	16	0.75	11.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249	4	0.75	3.0
Mid-range · Pull-up36 % of 414 league shots	36	0.72	25.9
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 528	6	0.71	4.3
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 528	5	0.71	3.6
Rim · Drive55 % of 880 league shots	60	1.11	66.4
Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 1 349	14	1.13	15.8
Rim · Drive · fast break59 % of 282 league shots	22	1.18	25.9
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 56 % of 1 349	5	1.13	5.6
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	8	1.14	9.1
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	2	1.14	2.3
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	2	1.14	2.3
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	9	1.14	10.3
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	1	1.14	1.1
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	4	1.14	4.6
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	4	1.14	4.6
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	1	1.14	1.1
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 57 % of 1 778	2	1.14	2.3
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 371	5	0.95	4.7
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 371	1	0.95	0.9
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 32 % of 2 371	2	0.95	1.9
Three · Catch and shoot32 % of 1 368 league shots	87	0.95	82.8
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance27 % of 232 league shots	19	0.80	15.2
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 819	10	0.93	9.3
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 1 819	3	0.93	2.8
Three · Pull-up33 % of 305 league shots	18	1.00	18.1
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 403	5	1.03	5.1
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 403	6	1.03	6.2
Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 403	1	1.03	1.0
Total adds up	396	0.95	374.8

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Where Sardanistes Figueres shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

396 of 396 shots shown

41.2%

163 of 396 from the floor, 6 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 77 / 134 58% · avg 1.9 ft 37 of the 77 makes assisted league 59% 154pts

MID 35 / 105 33% · avg 14.5 ft 14 of the 35 makes assisted league 36% 70pts

THREE 51 / 157 33% · avg 25.0 ft 45 of the 51 makes assisted league 31% 153pts

163 of 396 from the floor, 377 points, + 65 from the line

The dots cover 6 of 13 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

96 of 163 makes were assisted (59%): 37 + 14 + 45.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 6 games whose streams are stored, of 13 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 13 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Sardanistes Figueres

34% 27% 40%

League

33% 23% 44%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Sardanistes Figueres

34% 39% 21%

League

33% 42% 19%

How we counted it

Sardanistes Figueres: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	136 drives + 23 post-ups + 153 catch and shoot + 84 pull-ups = 396

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Jacinto Salazar SG 27 y

Strong61–80

Age: 27
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.6
Contract ends: End of season 4

65/142 shots 136.1 expected 152 scored ▲ +15.9

Ángelo Antonelli SF 32 y

Solid41–60

Age: 32
Potential: Solid (41–60)
Form: 0.0
Contract ends: End of season 4

21/60 shots 55.0 expected 54 scored ▼ −1.0

A man is listed from 50 shots.