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Vendimiadores Mendoza

Founded 1940 in Mendoza

Estadio de las Acequias, holding 8 500

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Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Behind its points

Vendimiadores Mendoza's wins trail its points

−1.9 wins

Vendimiadores Mendoza's points say about 11 wins in 19 league games. It has 9. The table has been a little unkind.

9Wins so far

10.9Points say

92.2Scored a game

90.2Allowed a game

+2.0Margin

How we counted it

Points scored, 19 league games	1 751
Points allowed	1 713
Allowed ÷ scored	0.9783
To the power of 14	0.7355
Share of wins: 1 ÷ (1 + 0.7355)	57.62%
× 19 games played	10.95
Wins the points say	10.9 adds up

Wins so far	9
Difference	−1.9 adds up

Close games. Decided by 5 points or fewer, overtime included: Vendimiadores Mendoza won 2 and lost 2. It is a fact, not part of the sum above.

Why 14. Bill James found that a team's wins follow the points it scores and allows. Daryl Morey fitted the same idea to basketball and found an exponent of about 14, and Dean Oliver's work on basketball analytics lands in the same place. It is a guide, not a law: a team that loses its close games runs below it, one that wins them runs above.

Regular season only, through round 19. It is final when the season closes.

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Strength

Strong on the glass

29.1 %

Vendimiadores Mendoza win back 29.1 % of their misses. The league wins back 26.7 %. That is 2nd of 20.

VME 29.1 %

League 26.7 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: 175 ÷ (175 + 427)	29.1 %
League mean, 20 clubs	26.7 %
Rank, 20 clubs	2nd of 20

Strength

Plenty of trips to the line

36.9

Vendimiadores Mendoza attempt 36.9 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 31.6, so 2nd of 20.

VME 36.9 %

League 31.6 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: 451 tries ÷ 1 221 shots	36.9 %
League mean, 20 clubs	31.6 %
Rank, 20 clubs	2nd of 20

Strength

Hot shooting

57.7 %

Vendimiadores Mendoza shoot 57.7 % effective. The league shoots 56.7 %. That is 4th of 20.

VME 57.7 %

League 56.7 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: (622 + ½ × 165) ÷ 1 221	57.7 %
League mean, 20 clubs	56.7 %
Rank, 20 clubs	4th of 20

Best shot-maker

Franklin Alvarez

#12 · SF

51/77shots

116points

+25.9vs expected

How we counted it

51 made of 77, 14 of them threes	51/77
Points: 2 × 51 + 14	116
His shots are worth (expected)	90.1
Above expected	116 − 90.1 = +25.9 adds up

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 4th of 20

VME 57.7 %

League 56.7 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: (622 + ½ × 165) ÷ 1 221	57.7 %
League mean, 20 clubs	56.7 %
Rank, 20 clubs	4th of 20

Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 9th of 20

VME 18.2 %

League 18.4 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: 268 ÷ 1 472 possessions	18.2 %
League mean, 20 clubs	18.4 %
Rank, 20 clubs	9th of 20

Reboundsown misses won back · 2nd of 20

VME 29.1 %

League 26.7 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: 175 ÷ (175 + 427)	29.1 %
League mean, 20 clubs	26.7 %
Rank, 20 clubs	2nd of 20

Free throwstries per shot · 2nd of 20

VME 36.9 %

League 31.6 %

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: 451 tries ÷ 1 221 shots	36.9 %
League mean, 20 clubs	31.6 %
Rank, 20 clubs	2nd of 20

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Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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Lucky so far

Your shots have paid off a little

+30.8

Over 8 games Vendimiadores Mendoza's shots were worth 560.2 points and they scored 591 from the floor: 3.9 a game better than the league would do from the same shots.

+30.8

UnluckyAs expectedLucky

How we counted it

Points: 2 × 262 + 67	591
Expected points, the squad's shots added up	560.2
Shot-making	+30.8
A game	+3.85

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 19.

Vendimiadores Mendoza
Kind of shot	Shots	Worth	Points
Mid-range · Drive45 % of 285 league shots	11	0.91	10.0
Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 45 % of 422	1	0.90	0.9
Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 45 % of 422	2	0.90	1.8
Mid-range · Post-up34 % of 241 league shots	13	0.68	8.8
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 312	2	0.68	1.4
Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 312	1	0.68	0.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot41 % of 320 league shots	6	0.82	4.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 424	2	0.85	1.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 424	2	0.85	1.7
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 43 % of 424	1	0.85	0.8
Mid-range · Pull-up40 % of 661 league shots	35	0.80	28.2
Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 916	5	0.81	4.0
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 41 % of 916	9	0.81	7.3
Rim · Drive65 % of 1 603 league shots	87	1.30	112.9
Rim · Drive · second chance61 % of 218 league shots	11	1.23	13.5
Rim · Drive · fast break66 % of 612 league shots	30	1.33	39.8
Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 2 510	3	1.30	3.9
Rim · Post-up65 % of 381 league shots	31	1.30	40.2
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 471	3	1.31	3.9
Rim · Catch and shoot64 % of 415 league shots	33	1.29	42.5
Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 67 % of 675	6	1.33	8.0
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 67 % of 675	11	1.33	14.7
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 67 % of 675	1	1.33	1.3
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 325	8	1.29	10.3
Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 325	3	1.29	3.9
Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 325	4	1.29	5.2
Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 65 % of 325	1	1.29	1.3
Three · Drive34 % of 211 league shots	8	1.02	8.2
Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 328	1	1.06	1.1
Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 328	4	1.06	4.2
Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 4 210	1	1.10	1.1
Three · Catch and shoot37 % of 2 303 league shots	87	1.10	95.8
Three · Catch and shoot · second chance37 % of 368 league shots	11	1.11	12.2
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break41 % of 458 league shots	26	1.24	32.2
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 3 183	3	1.12	3.4
Three · Pull-up32 % of 492 league shots	18	0.96	17.2
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 675	6	1.02	6.1
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 675	5	1.02	5.1
Total adds up	492	1.14	560.2

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Where Vendimiadores Mendoza shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

561 of 561 shots shown

52.0%

292 of 561 from the floor, 9 league games

Made
Missed
Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league

RIM 174 / 260 67% · avg 1.9 ft 102 of the 174 makes assisted league 65% 348pts

MID 37 / 95 39% · avg 14.1 ft 19 of the 37 makes assisted league 42% 74pts

THREE 81 / 206 39% · avg 25.7 ft 77 of the 81 makes assisted league 37% 243pts

292 of 561 from the floor, 665 points, + 159 from the line

The dots cover 9 of 19 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

198 of 292 makes were assisted (68%): 102 + 19 + 77.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 8 games whose streams are stored, of 19 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

Offence

Shooting %

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 19 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree

Vendimiadores Mendoza

47% 18% 35%

League

39% 20% 41%

DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up

Vendimiadores Mendoza

32% 10% 38% 19%

League

32% 42% 19%

Vendimiadores Mendoza lean on post-ups: 10.4 % of its shots against the league's 7.9 %.

How we counted it

Vendimiadores Mendoza: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups	158 drives + 51 post-ups + 189 catch and shoot + 94 pull-ups = 492

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Best shot-makers

Expected points

The points the league gets from shots like this one this season: the zone, the play, whether it came on the break and whether it came on a second chance. It does not know who was guarding or how far out he stood, because the game records neither. A club's expected points are the sum over its shots, and every figure opens to the kinds of shot it is made of.

It is a measure, not a rule: nothing in a match depends on it. It tells shot selection (how good the shots were) apart from shot-making (what the men did with them), so a bad night reads as bad luck or bad shots rather than just a bad night.

Take more of the shots the league scores most from, the rim and the open three, and fewer long pull-ups; the tactics page moves shots between them.

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Franklin Alvarez SF 23 y

Strong61–80

Age: 23
Potential: Elite (81–99)
Form: 0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

51/77 shots 90.1 expected 116 scored ▲ +25.9

Florencio Gillet SG 27 y

Strong61–80

Age: 27
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: 0.2
Contract ends: End of season 3

45/70 shots 80.9 expected 104 scored ▲ +23.1

Vicente Manrique PG 26 y

Strong61–80

Age: 26
Potential: Strong (61–80)
Form: -0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

57/101 shots 114.4 expected 132 scored ▲ +17.6

Aurelio Vidal SG 23 y

Strong61–80

Age: 23
Potential: Elite (81–99)
Form: -0.1
Contract ends: End of season 3

53/106 shots 120.8 expected 125 scored ▲ +4.2

A man is listed from 50 shots.