His shots are worth a little more than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 66 shots, kind by kind | 70.2 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 66 shots | 1.06 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 28 + 7 | 63 |
| ÷ 66 shots | 0.95 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270 | 3 | 0.72 | 2.2 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 149 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249 | 1 | 0.75 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up31 % of 363 league shots | 3 | 0.62 | 1.8 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 797 league shots | 13 | 1.17 | 15.2 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 222 | 3 | 1.19 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 249 league shots | 5 | 1.25 | 6.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 222 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204 | 4 | 1.19 | 4.7 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234 | 2 | 1.25 | 2.5 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234 | 3 | 1.25 | 3.7 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 757 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 757 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 166 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 234 league shots | 11 | 0.99 | 10.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 218 league shots | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 675 | 2 | 0.97 | 1.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 675 | 3 | 0.97 | 2.9 |
| Three · Pull-up35 % of 272 league shots | 5 | 1.06 | 5.3 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 362 | 1 | 1.06 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 66 | 1.06 | 70.2 |