His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for more.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 99 shots, kind by kind | 97.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 99 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 48 + 18 | 114 |
| ÷ 99 shots | 1.15 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 45 % of 286 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 45 % of 286 | 1 | 0.90 | 0.9 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 169 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot39 % of 212 league shots | 8 | 0.77 | 6.2 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up31 % of 369 league shots | 6 | 0.62 | 3.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 463 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 463 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 463 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.6 |
| Rim · Drive59 % of 824 league shots | 12 | 1.19 | 14.3 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 291 | 3 | 1.20 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break59 % of 292 league shots | 6 | 1.18 | 7.1 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 60 % of 1 291 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 798 | 3 | 1.21 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 798 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 798 | 2 | 1.21 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 61 % of 1 798 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.2 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 323 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 323 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 372 league shots | 25 | 0.99 | 24.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance39 % of 231 league shots | 3 | 1.18 | 3.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 827 | 6 | 1.03 | 6.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 827 | 2 | 1.03 | 2.1 |
| Three · Pull-up29 % of 269 league shots | 7 | 0.86 | 6.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 355 | 1 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 28 % of 355 | 3 | 0.85 | 2.6 |
| Total adds up | 99 | 0.99 | 97.8 |