His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 57 shots, kind by kind | 55.4 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 57 shots | 0.97 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 19 + 6 | 44 |
| ÷ 57 shots | 0.77 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 18.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 270 | 1 | 0.72 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 149 | 2 | 0.67 | 1.3 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 34 % of 1 149 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 249 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up31 % of 363 league shots | 2 | 0.62 | 1.2 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 484 | 2 | 0.61 | 1.2 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 31 % of 484 | 1 | 0.61 | 0.6 |
| Rim · Drive58 % of 797 league shots | 6 | 1.17 | 7.0 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break63 % of 249 league shots | 1 | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 1 222 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204 | 3 | 1.19 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 59 % of 204 | 1 | 1.19 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 234 | 2 | 1.25 | 2.5 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 33 % of 2 166 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot33 % of 1 234 league shots | 14 | 0.99 | 13.8 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance28 % of 218 league shots | 3 | 0.85 | 2.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 32 % of 1 675 | 6 | 0.97 | 5.8 |
| Three · Pull-up35 % of 272 league shots | 3 | 1.06 | 3.2 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 35 % of 362 | 1 | 1.06 | 1.1 |
| Total adds up | 57 | 0.97 | 55.4 |