His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 21 shots, kind by kind | 20.9 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 21 shots | 1.00 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 9 + 2 | 20 |
| ÷ 21 shots | 0.95 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 22.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 1 518 | 1 | 0.70 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up34 % of 504 league shots | 2 | 0.69 | 1.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 650 | 2 | 0.68 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Drive61 % of 1 193 league shots | 3 | 1.22 | 3.7 |
| Rim · Drive · second chance59 % of 200 league shots | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 62 % of 1 812 | 1 | 1.24 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 62 % of 2 473 | 1 | 1.23 | 1.2 |
| Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 3 029 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Three · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 35 % of 3 029 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 811 league shots | 1 | 1.04 | 1.0 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance35 % of 307 league shots | 2 | 1.04 | 2.1 |
| Three · Pull-up33 % of 350 league shots | 3 | 1.00 | 3.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 463 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 33 % of 463 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.0 |
| Total adds up | 21 | 1.00 | 20.9 |