His shots are worth a little less than the league's, and he makes them for less.
How we counted it
| Expected points: his 29 shots, kind by kind | 28.8 |
|---|---|
| ÷ 29 shots | 0.99 |
| Points from the floor: 2 × 12 + 2 | 26 |
| ÷ 29 shots | 0.90 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 13.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 298 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 37 % of 1 232 | 4 | 0.73 | 2.9 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 36 % of 262 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up39 % of 394 league shots | 2 | 0.78 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 534 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 534 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive60 % of 884 league shots | 3 | 1.20 | 3.6 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break62 % of 311 league shots | 4 | 1.23 | 4.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 61 % of 1 394 | 1 | 1.22 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 896 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 896 | 2 | 1.20 | 2.4 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 896 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Rim · Post-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 60 % of 1 896 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot35 % of 1 300 league shots | 1 | 1.05 | 1.1 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chance30 % of 211 league shots | 1 | 0.91 | 0.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 34 % of 1 717 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.0 |
| Three · Pull-up29 % of 242 league shots | 3 | 0.87 | 2.6 |
| Total adds up | 29 | 0.99 | 28.8 |