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Hochofen Dortmund has played 4 league games. We say where a club's points put it after 5.
4 of 5 league games played
Hochofen Dortmund
Founded 1958 in Dortmund
Zechenhalle, holding 9 500
Wins the points say
Expected wins
The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.
Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.
Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.
Wins the points say
Expected wins
The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.
Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.
Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.
The season in three lines
The four factors
The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.
They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.
Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.
The season in three lines
The four factors
The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.
They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.
Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.
Strength
A solid defence
Hochofen Dortmund let in 116.3 per 100 trips against the league's 121.6. Lower is better: 4th of 18.
How we counted it
| 100 × 364 allowed ÷ 313 possessions | 116.3 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 121.6 |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 4th of 18 |
Weakness
Careless with the ball
Hochofen Dortmund give it away on 20.0 % of trips against the league's 17.7 %. Fewer is better: 15th of 18.
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: 63 ÷ 315 possessions | 20.0 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 17.7 % |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 15th of 18 |
Strength
Plenty of trips to the line
Hochofen Dortmund attempt 37.7 free throws per 100 shots. The league attempts 31.1, so 4th of 18.
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: 93 tries ÷ 247 shots | 37.7 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 31.1 % |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 4th of 18 |
Four factors
Shootingeffective field goal % · 9th of 18
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: (127 + ½ × 35) ÷ 247 | 58.5 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 58.6 % |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 9th of 18 |
Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 15th of 18
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: 63 ÷ 315 possessions | 20.0 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 17.7 % |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 15th of 18 |
Reboundsown misses won back · 14th of 18
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: 29 ÷ (29 + 82) | 26.1 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 27.3 % |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 14th of 18 |
Free throwstries per shot · 4th of 18
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: 93 tries ÷ 247 shots | 37.7 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 18 clubs | 31.1 % |
| Rank, 18 clubs | 4th of 18 |
Lucky or unlucky?
Shot-making
Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.
Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.
Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.
Lucky or unlucky?
Shot-making
Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.
Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.
Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.
As expected
+2.5
Right on what the shots are worth
Over 2 games Hochofen Dortmund's shots were worth 149.5 points and they scored 152 from the floor: 1.2 a game in line with what than the league would do from the same shots.
+2.5
UnluckyAs expectedLucky
How we counted it
| Points: 2 × 64 + 24 | 152 |
|---|---|
| Expected points, the squad's shots added up | 149.5 |
| Shot-making | +2.5 |
| A game | +1.23 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 4.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 4 | 0.84 | 3.4 |
| Mid-range · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 2 | 0.84 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 6 | 0.84 | 5.0 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 4 | 0.84 | 3.4 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 2 | 0.84 | 1.7 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 42 % of 476 | 1 | 0.84 | 0.8 |
| Rim · Drive64 % of 365 league shots | 12 | 1.28 | 15.3 |
| Rim · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 556 | 3 | 1.31 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 556 | 6 | 1.31 | 7.9 |
| Rim · Drive · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 66 % of 556 | 3 | 1.31 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 5 | 1.31 | 6.6 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 11 | 1.31 | 14.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 1 | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 4 | 1.31 | 5.2 |
| Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 3 | 1.31 | 3.9 |
| Rim · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 1 | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 65 % of 861 | 3 | 1.31 | 3.9 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 971 | 2 | 1.16 | 2.3 |
| Three · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 971 | 1 | 1.16 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot41 % of 515 league shots | 28 | 1.23 | 34.6 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 711 | 2 | 1.18 | 2.4 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 711 | 5 | 1.18 | 5.9 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 39 % of 711 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.2 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 971 | 7 | 1.16 | 8.1 |
| Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 971 | 3 | 1.16 | 3.5 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 971 | 3 | 1.16 | 3.5 |
| Total adds up | 127 | 1.18 | 149.5 |
Where Hochofen Dortmund shoot
Shots by zone
Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.
A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.
Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.
Where Hochofen Dortmund shoot
Shots by zone
Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.
A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.
Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.
Every shot this season
247 of 247 shots shown
51.4%
127 of 247 from the floor, 4 league games
- Made
- Missed
- Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.
Tap a dot to read the shot.
Shots by zone
Tinted against the league
RIM
72 / 103
70% · avg 1.9 ft
41 of the 72 makes assisted
league 67%
144pts
MID
20 / 54
37% · avg 14.8 ft
10 of the 20 makes assisted
league 43%
40pts
THREE
35 / 90
39% · avg 25.2 ft
31 of the 35 makes assisted
league 39%
105pts
127 of 247 from the floor, 289 points, + 79 from the line
289 + 79 = 368 points in 4 games, the same as the league table and the wins the points say.
82 of 127 makes were assisted (65%): 41 + 10 + 31.
One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.
Shot quality is counted from the 2 games whose streams are stored, of 4 played.
More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters
Trends
Net rating
Offence
Shooting %
Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 4 games are counted.
Where the shots came from
RimMid-rangeThree
Hochofen Dortmund
41%
18%
41%
League
37%
21%
42%
DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up
Hochofen Dortmund
25%
46%
22%
League
32%
41%
19%
How we counted it
| Hochofen Dortmund: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups | 32 drives + 8 post-ups + 59 catch and shoot + 28 pull-ups = 127 |
|---|