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Keramikai Panevėžys

Founded 1958 in Panevėžys

Nevėžio krantinės salė, holding 9 500

⁠
Wins the points say

Expected wins

The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.

Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.

Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.

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Not yet

Too early to say

Keramikai Panevėžys has played 4 league games. We say where a club's points put it after 5.

4 of 5 league games played

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The season in three lines

The four factors

The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.

They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.

Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.

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Strength

Hot shooting

62.8 %

Keramikai Panevėžys shoot 62.8 % effective. The league shoots 57.7 %. That is 1st of 10.

KEP 62.8 %
League 57.7 %
How we counted it
Keramikai Panevėžys: (142 + ½ × 50) ÷ 26662.8 %
League mean, 10 clubs57.7 %
Rank, 10 clubs1st of 10
Strength

A strong attack

126.7

Keramikai Panevėžys score 126.7 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 119.4. That is 3rd of 10.

KEP 126.7
League 119.4
How we counted it
100 × 384 points ÷ 303 possessions126.7
League mean, 10 clubs119.4
Rank, 10 clubs3rd of 10
Strength

A solid defence

114.9

Keramikai Panevėžys let in 114.9 per 100 trips against the league's 119.4. Lower is better: 3rd of 10.

KEP 114.9
League 119.4
How we counted it
100 × 354 allowed ÷ 308 possessions114.9
League mean, 10 clubs119.4
Rank, 10 clubs3rd of 10

Four factors

Shootingeffective field goal % · 1st of 10
KEP 62.8 %
League 57.7 %
How we counted it
Keramikai Panevėžys: (142 + ½ × 50) ÷ 26662.8 %
League mean, 10 clubs57.7 %
Rank, 10 clubs1st of 10
Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 4th of 10
KEP 17.8 %
League 18.6 %
How we counted it
Keramikai Panevėžys: 54 ÷ 303 possessions17.8 %
League mean, 10 clubs18.6 %
Rank, 10 clubs4th of 10
Reboundsown misses won back · 5th of 10
KEP 29.4 %
League 29.1 %
How we counted it
Keramikai Panevėžys: 35 ÷ (35 + 84)29.4 %
League mean, 10 clubs29.1 %
Rank, 10 clubs5th of 10
Free throwstries per shot · 8th of 10
KEP 24.1 %
League 28.3 %
How we counted it
Keramikai Panevėžys: 64 tries ÷ 266 shots24.1 %
League mean, 10 clubs28.3 %
Rank, 10 clubs8th of 10

⁠
Lucky or unlucky?

Shot-making

Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.

Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.

Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.

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Lucky so far

Your shots have paid off

+23.4

Over 2 games Keramikai Panevėžys's shots were worth 147.6 points and they scored 171 from the floor: 11.7 a game better than the league would do from the same shots.

How we counted it
Points: 2 × 73 + 25171
Expected points, the squad's shots added up147.6
Shot-making+23.4
A game+11.68

Expected points are measured against league rates through round 4.

Keramikai Panevėžys
Kind of shotShotsWorthPoints
Mid-range · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24930.872.6
Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24920.871.7
Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24910.870.9
Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24930.872.6
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24910.870.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24910.870.9
Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24910.870.9
Mid-range · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24970.876.1
Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 43 % of 24930.872.6
Rim · Drive69 % of 212 league shots241.3833.1
Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 68 % of 34871.359.4
Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53441.355.4
Rim · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53411.351.3
Rim · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53421.352.7
Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53471.359.5
Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53421.352.7
Rim · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53431.354.1
Rim · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 53411.351.3
Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 56071.137.9
Three · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 56011.131.1
Three · Catch and shoot37 % of 309 league shots311.1134.3
Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 41921.122.2
Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 41951.125.6
Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 37 % of 41911.121.1
Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 56031.133.4
Three · Pull-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 56011.131.1
Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 38 % of 56021.132.2
Total adds up1261.17147.6

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Where Keramikai Panevėžys shoot

Shots by zone

Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.

A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.

Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.

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Every shot this season

126 of 126 shots shown

57.9%

73 of 126 from the floor, 2 league games

10 ft 20 ft Q1 7:13 · John Dillon · a 26-foot three · missed. Q1 4:55 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 26-foot three · missed. Q1 3:47 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 25-foot three, blocked by Normantas Jaunius · missed. Q1 3:11 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 3-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q1 1:29 · Ronaldo Machado · a 26-foot three · missed. Q1 0:34 · John Dillon · a 24-foot three · missed. Q1 0:34 · Ronaldo Machado · a 27-foot three · missed. Q2 9:31 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 27-foot three · missed. Q2 9:02 · Ronaldo Machado · a 3-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q2 8:03 · John Dillon · a 27-foot three · missed. Q2 7:37 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 12-foot jumper · missed. Q2 6:42 · Ronaldo Machado · a 3-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q2 6:42 · John Dillon · a 26-foot three · missed. Q2 4:50 · Ronaldo Machado · a 25-foot three · missed. Q2 3:19 · Ronaldo Machado · a 19-foot jumper · missed. Q2 2:56 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 18-foot jumper · missed. Q2 0:55 · John Dillon · a 27-foot three · missed. Q2 0:22 · Ronaldo Machado · a 3-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q3 8:30 · Ronaldo Machado · a 11-foot jumper · missed. Q3 6:51 · Oskar Edet · a 26-foot three · missed. Q3 6:25 · Ronaldo Machado · a 23-foot three · missed. Q3 2:56 · Ronaldo Machado · a 29-foot three · missed. Q4 7:09 · Stasys Andriuškevičius · a 24-foot three · missed. Q4 4:39 · Ronaldo Machado · a 1-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q4 1:32 · Ronaldo Machado · a 2-foot finish at the rim, blocked by Normantas Jaunius · missed. Q4 1:00 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 24-foot three · missed. Q4 0:36 · Oskar Edet · a 12-foot jumper · missed. Q4 0:25 · Ronaldo Machado · a 25-foot three, blocked by Normantas Jaunius · missed. Q1 8:23 · Ronaldo Machado · a 25-foot three · missed. Q1 7:18 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 24-foot three · missed. Q1 6:21 · Steponas Hammer · a 24-foot three · missed. Q1 2:12 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 1-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q1 0:37 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 28-foot three · missed. Q2 9:14 · John Dillon · a 27-foot three · missed. Q2 6:42 · Ronaldo Machado · a 2-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q2 5:53 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 1-foot finish at the rim, blocked by Brent Hayward · missed. Q2 2:56 · John Dillon · a 27-foot three · missed. Q2 2:56 · Ronaldo Machado · a 24-foot three · missed. Q2 2:56 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 10-foot jumper · missed. Q2 0:08 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 3-foot finish at the rim, blocked by Audrius Bielskis · missed. Q3 8:36 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 2-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q3 6:15 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 2-foot finish at the rim, blocked by Ethan Bülbül · missed. Q3 5:40 · John Dillon · a 4-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q3 4:46 · Stasys Andriuškevičius · a 9-foot jumper · missed. Q3 4:16 · John Dillon · a 3-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q3 3:55 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 23-foot three · missed. Q3 3:19 · John Dillon · a 17-foot jumper · missed. Q4 5:44 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 23-foot three · missed. Q4 3:19 · Ronaldo Machado · a 12-foot jumper · missed. Q4 3:19 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 1-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q4 2:58 · John Dillon · a 2-foot finish at the rim · missed. Q4 1:48 · John Dillon · a 26-foot three · missed. Q4 1:16 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 27-foot three · missed. Q1 10:00 · Ronaldo Machado · a 2-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Oskar Edet · made. Q1 9:25 · Ronaldo Machado · a 17-foot jumper, unassisted · made. Q1 8:45 · Oskar Edet · a 16-foot jumper, unassisted · made. Q1 6:09 · John Dillon · a 2-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Armandas Sakalauskas · made. Q1 5:32 · Isaías Amador · a 25-foot three, assisted by Stasys Andriuškevičius · made. Q1 4:21 · Žygimantas Čepulis · a 11-foot jumper, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q1 2:32 · Žygimantas Čepulis · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q1 2:05 · Ronaldo Machado · a 2-foot finish at the rim, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 7:10 · Ronaldo Machado · a 3-foot finish at the rim, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 6:11 · Ronaldo Machado · a 26-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 3:52 · Ronaldo Machado · a 1-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q2 1:36 · John Dillon · a 25-foot three, unassisted · made. Q3 9:33 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 9:03 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q3 7:49 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 28-foot three, assisted by Oskar Edet · made. Q3 5:23 · Ronaldo Machado · a 24-foot three, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 4:58 · Oskar Edet · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 4:35 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 26-foot three, assisted by Armandas Sakalauskas · made. Q3 3:30 · Ronaldo Machado · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 2:56 · Ronaldo Machado · a 2-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 2:17 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 21-foot jumper, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q3 1:44 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 1:14 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 26-foot three, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q3 0:08 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 2-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q4 9:45 · Stasys Andriuškevičius · a 26-foot three, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q4 9:18 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 12-foot jumper, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q4 8:40 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 15-foot jumper, unassisted · made. Q4 7:41 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Stasys Andriuškevičius · made. Q4 5:42 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 3-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q4 5:17 · Oskar Edet · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q4 3:18 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 27-foot three, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q4 2:42 · Ronaldo Machado · a 3-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q4 2:13 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 26-foot three, assisted by Paulius Sinkevičius · made. Q4 1:32 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 16-foot jumper, assisted by Oskar Edet · made. Q1 10:00 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 25-foot three, assisted by Oskar Edet · made. Q1 9:29 · Oskar Edet · a 2-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q1 8:50 · John Dillon · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Ronaldo Machado · made. Q1 7:53 · Ronaldo Machado · a 3-foot finish at the rim, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q1 6:54 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 24-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q1 5:50 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 2-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q1 4:49 · Ronaldo Machado · a 27-foot three, assisted by Zigmas Miliauskas · made. Q1 4:18 · Ronaldo Machado · a 2-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q1 3:41 · Žygimantas Čepulis · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Ronaldo Machado · made. Q1 0:06 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 2-foot finish at the rim, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 9:43 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 1-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q2 8:39 · Ronaldo Machado · a 23-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 7:08 · Ronaldo Machado · a 26-foot three, assisted by Armandas Sakalauskas · made. Q2 5:53 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 23-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 5:11 · Ronaldo Machado · a 1-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q2 4:27 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 3-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q2 3:55 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 21-foot jumper, unassisted · made. Q2 3:32 · Ronaldo Machado · a 24-foot three, assisted by Stasys Andriuškevičius · made. Q2 1:47 · John Dillon · a 26-foot three, assisted by Armandas Sakalauskas · made. Q2 1:16 · Ronaldo Machado · a 26-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q2 0:39 · Steponas Hammer · a 13-foot jumper, unassisted · made. Q3 9:38 · John Dillon · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Ronaldo Machado · made. Q3 9:12 · Oskar Edet · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 8:05 · John Dillon · a 26-foot three, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 7:32 · John Dillon · a 3-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q3 2:21 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 11-foot jumper, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q3 1:46 · Stasys Andriuškevičius · a 13-foot jumper, assisted by Steponas Hammer · made. Q3 1:14 · John Dillon · a 26-foot three, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q3 0:45 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 2-foot finish at the rim, unassisted · made. Q4 9:41 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 26-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q4 9:11 · Selçuk Cuesta · a 25-foot three, assisted by Paulius Sinkevičius · made. Q4 8:38 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 1-foot finish at the rim, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q4 8:08 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 28-foot three, assisted by John Dillon · made. Q4 7:35 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 28-foot three, assisted by Steponas Hammer · made. Q4 6:54 · Armandas Sakalauskas · a 11-foot jumper, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q4 6:16 · Zigmas Miliauskas · a 3-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Selçuk Cuesta · made. Q4 4:17 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 3-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Ronaldo Machado · made. Q4 3:49 · Paulius Sinkevičius · a 3-foot finish at the rim, assisted by Oskar Edet · made. Q4 2:58 · Ronaldo Machado · a 16-foot jumper, unassisted · made.
  • Made
  • Missed
  • Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.

Shots by zone

Tinted against the league
RIM 35 / 51 69% · avg 1.9 ft 23 of the 35 makes assisted league 67% 70pts
MID 13 / 22 59% · avg 14.2 ft 7 of the 13 makes assisted league 41% 26pts
THREE 25 / 53 47% · avg 25.6 ft 24 of the 25 makes assisted league 38% 75pts

73 of 126 from the floor, 171 points, + 19 from the line

The dots cover 2 of 4 league games; earlier games have no shot record.

54 of 73 makes were assisted (74%): 23 + 7 + 24.

One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.

Shot quality is counted from the 2 games whose streams are stored, of 4 played.

More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters

Trends

Net rating

league 0 Round 1: +12 Round 2: +36 Round 3: −8 Round 4: +8

Offence

league 119 Round 1: 126 Round 2: 136 Round 3: 109 Round 4: 136

Shooting %

league 58 Round 1: 53 Round 2: 64 Round 3: 63 Round 4: 73

Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 4 games are counted.

Where the shots came from

RimMid-rangeThree
Keramikai Panevėžys
40% 17% 42%
League
40% 19% 42%
DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up
Keramikai Panevėžys
33% 9% 43% 16%
League
33% 9% 41% 17%
How we counted it
Keramikai Panevėžys: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups41 drives + 11 post-ups + 54 catch and shoot + 20 pull-ups = 126