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Situla Novo mesto has played 4 league games. We say where a club's points put it after 5.
4 of 5 league games played
Situla Novo mesto
Founded 1971 in Novo mesto
Dvorana na Krki, holding 8 500
Wins the points say
Expected wins
The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.
Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.
Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.
Wins the points say
Expected wins
The wins a club's points scored and allowed say it should have, by the Pythagorean share: wins follow the points a team scores and allows, to the power of 14 for basketball (Daryl Morey's fit). A club's wins minus its expected wins is how far the table runs from its points.
Over a whole season the two agree closely, and a club far from its expected wins is usually one that won or lost more than its share of close games. It changes nothing in the standings; it is a reading of them.
Nothing to fix in the table itself: a club behind its points is probably better than its record, one ahead of them probably flatters itself. Close-game results settle over a season.
The season in three lines
The four factors
The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.
They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.
Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.
The season in three lines
The four factors
The four things that decide a basketball game, after Dean Oliver: shooting (effective field goal %, which counts a three as one and a half), turnovers (the share of trips thrown away), rebounds (the share of own misses won back) and free throws (tries per shot). The bars show each club against the other, and the club page shows it against the league.
They add up to the margin: the report's three cards are the factors that moved the score most, in points.
Work on the factor the card calls costly: ball handlers and the tempo for turnovers, bigs for rebounds, drivers for the line.
Strength
Hot shooting
Situla Novo mesto shoot 60.7 % effective. The league shoots 57.5 %. That is 1st of 10.
How we counted it
| Situla Novo mesto: (138 + ½ × 48) ÷ 267 | 60.7 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 57.5 % |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 1st of 10 |
Strength
A strong attack
Situla Novo mesto score 124.2 points for every 100 trips. The league scores 117.4. That is 2nd of 10.
How we counted it
| 100 × 385 points ÷ 310 possessions | 124.2 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 117.4 |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 2nd of 10 |
Weakness
A leaky defence
Situla Novo mesto let in 121.7 per 100 trips against the league's 117.4. Lower is better: 9th of 10.
How we counted it
| 100 × 382 allowed ÷ 314 possessions | 121.7 |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 117.4 |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 9th of 10 |
Four factors
Shootingeffective field goal % · 1st of 10
How we counted it
| Situla Novo mesto: (138 + ½ × 48) ÷ 267 | 60.7 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 57.5 % |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 1st of 10 |
Turnoverstrips lost, fewer is better · 3rd of 10
How we counted it
| Situla Novo mesto: 54 ÷ 310 possessions | 17.4 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 18.4 % |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 3rd of 10 |
Reboundsown misses won back · 8th of 10
How we counted it
| Situla Novo mesto: 31 ÷ (31 + 94) | 24.8 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 25.7 % |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 8th of 10 |
Free throwstries per shot · 7th of 10
How we counted it
| Situla Novo mesto: 68 tries ÷ 267 shots | 25.5 % |
|---|---|
| League mean, 10 clubs | 28.2 % |
| Rank, 10 clubs | 7th of 10 |
Lucky or unlucky?
Shot-making
Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.
Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.
Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.
Lucky or unlucky?
Shot-making
Points scored from the floor minus the points those shots are worth. Above zero is shooting better than the league does from the same shots, below zero is worse. Free throws are not shots and are not in it.
Over a night it is mostly luck, and the page calls it that: a few points either way is as expected. Over a season it settles, and a man far from zero is either a real finisher or a man whose luck will turn.
Rest or sharpen the man if it is persistently below zero; do not rebuild the attack on one hot night.
Lucky so far
+7.5
Your shots have paid off a little
Over 2 games Situla Novo mesto's shots were worth 152.5 points and they scored 160 from the floor: 3.7 a game better than the league would do from the same shots.
+7.5
UnluckyAs expectedLucky
How we counted it
| Points: 2 × 67 + 26 | 160 |
|---|---|
| Expected points, the squad's shots added up | 152.5 |
| Shot-making | +7.5 |
| A game | +3.73 |
Expected points are measured against league rates through round 4.
| Kind of shot | Shots | Worth | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mid-range · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 2 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Post-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 7 | 0.81 | 5.7 |
| Mid-range · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 2 | 0.81 | 1.6 |
| Mid-range · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 8 | 0.81 | 6.5 |
| Mid-range · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 40 % of 245 | 5 | 0.81 | 4.0 |
| Rim · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 67 % of 289 | 21 | 1.35 | 28.3 |
| Rim · Drive · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 67 % of 289 | 6 | 1.35 | 8.1 |
| Rim · Post-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 484 | 11 | 1.36 | 14.9 |
| Rim · Catch and shootonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 484 | 2 | 1.36 | 2.7 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 484 | 1 | 1.36 | 1.3 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 484 | 1 | 1.36 | 1.4 |
| Rim · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 68 % of 484 | 1 | 1.36 | 1.4 |
| Three · Driveonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 560 | 3 | 1.17 | 3.5 |
| Three · Drive · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 560 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot39 % of 322 league shots | 34 | 1.18 | 40.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 428 | 6 | 1.20 | 7.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 428 | 6 | 1.20 | 7.2 |
| Three · Catch and shoot · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the same play from the same zone: 40 % of 428 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.2 |
| Three · Pull-uponly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 560 | 6 | 1.17 | 7.0 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast breakonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 560 | 4 | 1.17 | 4.7 |
| Three · Pull-up · fast break · second chanceonly a few league shots like it, so the zone's rate: 39 % of 560 | 1 | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Total adds up | 131 | 1.16 | 152.5 |
Where Situla Novo mesto shoot
Shots by zone
Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.
A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.
Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.
Where Situla Novo mesto shoot
Shots by zone
Every shot of the match as a dot: filled when it went in, hollow when it missed, with a bar through it when it was blocked. How far from the ring each shot was is the match record. The side of the floor it came from is drawn for the picture, the same way the replay stages it, so every reader sees the same dot and no dot claims a spot the game never recorded. The three zones, rim, mid-range and three, count the dots and add up to the box score.
A zone is warm when the club shot at least five points better than the league does from there, cool when that much worse. Filtering by man, quarter or result recounts the zones from the dots shown, so every number is a count of what is on the court.
Shape the attack toward the zone where your men shoot best: the tactics page moves shots between the rim, the mid-range and the three.
Every shot this season
131 of 131 shots shown
51.1%
67 of 131 from the floor, 2 league games
- Made
- Missed
- Regular season only. The same games as the league table and the wins the points say. The side of the floor is drawn for the picture.
Tap a dot to read the shot.
Shots by zone
Tinted against the league
RIM
30 / 43
70% · avg 1.9 ft
12 of the 30 makes assisted
league 66%
60pts
MID
11 / 26
42% · avg 14.5 ft
5 of the 11 makes assisted
league 40%
22pts
THREE
26 / 62
42% · avg 25.5 ft
24 of the 26 makes assisted
league 38%
78pts
67 of 131 from the floor, 160 points, + 26 from the line
The dots cover 2 of 4 league games; earlier games have no shot record.
41 of 67 makes were assisted (61%): 12 + 5 + 24.
One man's season is on his player page, under Where he shoots.
Shot quality is counted from the 2 games whose streams are stored, of 4 played.
More statsTrends, shot mix, the squad's shooters
Trends
Net rating
Offence
Shooting %
Dots are games, the line is the five-game mean, the dashed line is the league. All 4 games are counted.
Where the shots came from
RimMid-rangeThree
Situla Novo mesto
33%
20%
47%
League
38%
19%
43%
DrivePost-upCatch and shootPull-up
Situla Novo mesto
24%
11%
47%
18%
League
29%
11%
43%
18%
How we counted it
| Situla Novo mesto: drives + post-ups + catch and shoot + pull-ups | 31 drives + 15 post-ups + 61 catch and shoot + 24 pull-ups = 131 |
|---|